Intermediate-Level Crossings of a First-Passage Path

preprint2015arXivOpen access

Abstract

We investigate some simple and surprising properties of a one-dimensional Brownian trajectory with diffusion coefficient DD that starts at the origin and reaches XX either: (i) at time TT or (ii) for the first time at time TT. We determine the most likely location of the first-passage trajectory from (0,0)(0,0) to (X,T)(X,T) and its distribution at any intermediate time t<Tt<T. A first-passage path typically starts out by being repelled from its final location when X2/DT≪1X^2/DT\ll 1. We also determine the distribution of times when the trajectory first crosses and last crosses an arbitrary intermediate position x<Xx<X. The distribution of first-crossing times may be unimodal or bimodal, depending on whether X2/DT≪1X^2/DT\ll 1 or X2/DT≫1X^2/DT\gg 1. The form of the first-crossing probability in the bimodal regime is qualitatively similar to, but more singular than, the well-known arcsine law.

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