Heavy tail phenomenon and convergence to stable laws for iterated Lipschitz maps

preprint2010arXivOpen access

Abstract

We consider the Markov chain {Xnx}n=0∞\{X_n^x\}_{n=0}^\infty on Rd\R^d defined by the stochastic recursion $X_{n}^{x}=\p_{θ_{n}}(X_{n-1}^{x})$, starting at x∈Rdx\in\R^d, where θ1,θ2,...θ_{1}, θ_{2},... are i.i.d. random variables taking their values in a metric space (Θ,r),(Θ, \mathfrak{r}), and $\p_{θ_{n}}:\R^d\mapsto\R^d$ are Lipschitz maps. Assume that the Markov chain has a unique stationary measure νν. Under appropriate assumptions on $\p_{θ_n}$, we will show that the measure νν has a heavy tail with the exponent α>0α>0 i.e. ν({x∈Rd:∣x∣>t})≍t−αν(\{x\in\R^d: |x|>t\})\asymp t^{-α}. Using this result we show that properly normalized Birkhoff sums Snx=∑k=1nXkxS_n^x=\sum_{k=1}^n X_k^x, converge in law to an αα--stable law for α∈(0,2]α\in(0, 2].

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