Finitely additive equivalent martingale measures

preprint2010arXivOpen access

Abstract

Let LL be a linear space of real bounded random variables on the probability space (Ω,A,P0)(Ω,\mathcal{A},P_0). There is a finitely additive probability PP on A\mathcal{A}, such that P∼P0P\sim P_0 and EP(X)=0E_P(X)=0 for all X∈LX\in L, if and only if c EQ(X)≤ess sup(−X)c\,E_Q(X)\leq\text{ess sup}(-X), X∈LX\in L, for some constant c>0c>0 and (countably additive) probability QQ on A\mathcal{A} such that Q∼P0Q\sim P_0. A necessary condition for such a PP to exist is L−L∞+ˉ ∩L∞+={0}\bar{L-L_\infty^+}\,\cap L_\infty^+=\{0\}, where the closure is in the norm-topology. If P0P_0 is atomic, the condition is sufficient as well. In addition, there is a finitely additive probability PP on A\mathcal{A}, such that P≪P0P\ll P_0 and EP(X)=0E_P(X)=0 for all X∈LX\in L, if and only if ess sup(X)≥0\text{ess sup}(X)\geq 0 for all X∈LX\in L.

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