Extremes of Gaussian Random Fields with regularly varying dependence structure

preprint2016arXivOpen access

Abstract

Let X(t),t∈TX(t), t\in \mathcal{T} be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function σ2(⋅)σ^2(\cdot) that attains its maximum at the unique point t0∈Tt_0\in \mathcal{T}, and let M(T):=sup⁡t∈TX(t)M(\mathcal{T}):=\sup_{t\in \mathcal{T}} X(t). For T\mathcal{T} a compact subset of R\R, the current literature explains the asymptotic tail behaviour of M(T)M(\mathcal{T}) under some regularity conditions including that 1−σ(t)1- σ(t) has a polynomial decrease to 0 as t→t0t \to t_0. In this contribution we consider more general case that 1−σ(t)1- σ(t) is regularly varying at t0t_0. We extend our analysis to random fields defined on some compact T⊂R2\mathcal{T}\subset \R^2, deriving the exact tail asymptotics of M(T)M(\mathcal{T}) for the class of Gaussian random fields with variance and correlation functions being regularly varying at t0t_0. A crucial novel element is the analysis of families of Gaussian random fields that do not possess locally additive dependence structures, which leads to qualitatively new types of asymptotics.

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