Estimating drift parameters in a non-ergodic Gaussian Vasicek-type model

preprint2020arXivOpen access

Abstract

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a non-ergodic Gaussian Vasicek-type model defined as dXt=(μ+θXt)dt+dGt, t≥0dX_t=(μ+θX_t)dt+dG_t,\ t\geq0 with unknown parameters θ>0θ>0 and μ∈Rμ\in\mathbb{R}, where GG is a Gaussian process. We provide least square-type estimators θ~T\widetildeθ_T and μ~T\widetildeμ_T respectively for the drift parameters θθ and μμ based on continuous-time observations {Xt, t∈[0,T]}\{X_t,\ t\in[0,T]\} as T→∞T\rightarrow\infty. Our aim is to derive some sufficient conditions on the driving Gaussian process GG in order to ensure that θ~T\widetildeθ_T and μ~T\widetildeμ_T are strongly consistent, the limit distribution of θ~T\widetildeθ_T is a Cauchy-type distribution and μ~T\widetildeμ_T is asymptotically normal. We apply our result to fractional Vasicek, subfractional Vasicek and bifractional Vasicek processes. In addition, this work extends the result of \cite{EEO} studied in the case where μ=0μ=0.

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