Characterization of intermittency in renewal processes: Application to earthquakes

We construct a one-dimensional piecewise linear intermittent map from the interevent time distribution for a given renewal process. Then, we characterize intermittency by the asymptotic behavior near the indifferent fixed point in the piecewise linear intermittent map. Thus, we provide a new framework to understand a unified characterization of intermittency, and also present the Lyapunov exponent of renewal processes. This method is applied to the occurrence of earthquakes using the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) catalog. We demonstrate that interevent times are not independent and identically distributed random variables by analyzing the return map of interevent times, but that there is a systematic change in conditional probability distribution functions of interevent times.

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