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Can the Adaptive Metropolis Algorithm Collapse Without the Covariance Lower Bound?

The Adaptive Metropolis (AM) algorithm is based on the symmetric random-walk Metropolis algorithm. The proposal distribution has the following time-dependent covariance matrix at step $n+1$ \[ S_n = Cov(X_1,...,X_n) + εI, \] that is, the sample covariance matrix of the history of the chain plus a (small) constant $ε>0$ multiple of the identity matrix $I$. The lower bound on the eigenvalues of $S_n$ induced by the factor $εI$ is theoretically convenient, but practically cumbersome, as a good value for the parameter $ε$ may not always be easy to choose. This article considers variants of the AM algorithm that do not explicitly bound the eigenvalues of $S_n$ away from zero. The behaviour of $S_n$ is studied in detail, indicating that the eigenvalues of $S_n$ do not tend to collapse to zero in general.

preprint2009arXivOpen access
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