Asymptotically distribution-free goodness-of-fit testing for tail copulas

preprint2015arXivOpen access

Abstract

Let (X1,Y1),…,(Xn,Yn)(X_1,Y_1),\ldots,(X_n,Y_n) be an i.i.d. sample from a bivariate distribution function that lies in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. The asymptotic joint distribution of the standardized component-wise maxima ⋁i=1nXi\bigvee_{i=1}^nX_i and ⋁i=1nYi\bigvee_{i=1}^nY_i is then characterized by the marginal extreme value indices and the tail copula RR. We propose a procedure for constructing asymptotically distribution-free goodness-of-fit tests for the tail copula RR. The procedure is based on a transformation of a suitable empirical process derived from a semi-parametric estimator of RR. The transformed empirical process converges weakly to a standard Wiener process, paving the way for a multitude of asymptotically distribution-free goodness-of-fit tests. We also extend our results to the mm-variate (m>2m>2) case. In a simulation study we show that the limit theorems provide good approximations for finite samples and that tests based on the transformed empirical process have high power.

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