Asymptotic results for sample autocovariance functions and extremes of integrated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

preprint2010arXivOpen access

Abstract

We consider a positive stationary generalized Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process \[V_t=\mathrm{e}^{-ξ_t}\biggl(\int_0^t\mathrm{e}^{ξ_{s-}}\ ,\mathrm{d}η_s+V_0\biggr)\qquadfor t\geq0,\] and the increments of the integrated generalized Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process Ik=∫k−1kVt−dLtI_k=\int_{k-1}^k\sqrt{V_{t-}} \mathrm{d}L_t, k∈Nk\in\mathbb{N}, where (ξt,ηt,Lt)t≥0(ξ_t,η_t,L_t)_{t\geq0} is a three-dimensional Lévy process independent of the starting random variable V0V_0. The genOU model is a continuous-time version of a stochastic recurrence equation. Hence, our models include, in particular, continuous-time versions of ARCH⁡(1)\operatorname {ARCH}(1) and GARCH⁡(1,1)\operatorname {GARCH}(1,1) processes. In this paper we investigate the asymptotic behavior of extremes and the sample autocovariance function of (Vt)t≥0(V_t)_{t\geq0} and (Ik)k∈N(I_k)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}. Furthermore, we present a central limit result for (Ik)k∈N(I_k)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}. Regular variation and point process convergence play a crucial role in establishing the statistics of (Vt)t≥0(V_t)_{t\geq0} and (Ik)k∈N(I_k)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}. The theory can be applied to the COGARCH⁡(1,1)\operatorname {COGARCH}(1,1) and the Nelson diffusion model.

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