Abstract
We consider the problem of estimating a function from noisy samples whose discrete Total Variation (TV) is bounded by . We reveal a deep connection to the seemingly disparate problem of Strongly Adaptive online learning (Daniely et al, 2015) and provide an time algorithm that attains the near minimax optimal rate of under squared error loss. The resulting algorithm runs online and optimally adapts to the unknown smoothness parameter . This leads to a new and more versatile alternative to wavelets-based methods for (1) adaptively estimating TV bounded functions; (2) online forecasting of TV bounded trends in time series.
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