Abstract

We consider a model Y_t=σ_tη_tY\_t=σ\_tη\_t in which (σ_t)(σ\_t) is not independent of the noise process (η_t)(η\_t), but σ_tσ\_t is independent of η_tη\_t for each tt. We assume that (σ_t)(σ\_t) is stationary and we propose an adaptive estimator of the density of ln⁡(σ2_t)\ln(σ^2\_t) based on the observations Y_tY\_t. Under various dependence structures, the rates of this nonparametric estimator coincide with the minimax rates obtained in the i.i.d. case when (σ_t)(σ\_t) and (η_t)(η\_t) are independent, in all cases where these minimax rates are known. The results apply to various linear and non linear ARCH processes.

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