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Every organism in an environment, whether biological, robotic or virtual, must be able to predict certain aspects of its environment in order to survive or perform whatever task is intended. It needs a model that is capable of estimating the consequences of possible actions, so that planning, control, and decision-making become feasible. For scientific purposes, such models are usually created in a problem specific manner using differential equations and other techniques from control- and system-theory. In contrast to that, we aim for an unsupervised approach that builds up the desired model in a self-organized fashion. Inspired by Slow Feature Analysis (SFA), our approach is to extract sub-signals from the input, that behave as predictable as possible. These "predictable features" are highly relevant for modeling, because predictability is a desired property of the needed consequence-estimating model by definition. In our approach, we measure predictability with respect to a certain prediction model. We focus here on the solution of the arising optimization problem and present a tractable algorithm based on algebraic methods which we call Predictable Feature Analysis (PFA)
preprint / 2013