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Detecting p-hacking

We theoretically analyze the problem of testing for $p$-hacking based on distributions of $p$-values across multiple studies. We provide general results for when such distributions have testable restrictions (are non-increasing) under the null of no $p$-hacking. We find novel additional testable restrictions for $p$-values based on $t$-tests. Specifically, the shape of the power functions results in both complete monotonicity as well as bounds on the distribution of $p$-values. These testable restrictions result in more powerful tests for the null hypothesis of no $p$-hacking. When there is also publication bias, our tests are joint tests for $p$-hacking and publication bias. A reanalysis of two prominent datasets shows the usefulness of our new tests.

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Co-authorshipCo-authorshipCo-authorshipAuthorshipAuthorshipAuthorshipTopic signalTopic signalTopic signalWDetecting p-hackingpreprint / 2021AGraham ElliottResearcherANikolay KudrinResearcherAKaspar WuthrichResearcherTecon.GN1138 worksTq-fin.EC1147 worksTecon.EM938 works
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Detecting p-hacking

preprint / 2021

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