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Xiaoyuan Li

Xiaoyuan Li contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Computation and Language Human-Computer Interaction Quantitative Methods

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preprint2026arXiv

On Predicting the Post-training Potential of Pre-trained LLMs

The performance of Large Language Models (LLMs) on downstream tasks is fundamentally constrained by the capabilities acquired during pre-training. However, traditional benchmarks like MMLU often fail to reflect a base model's plasticity in complex open-ended scenarios, leading to inefficient model selection. We address this by introducing a new task of predicting post-training potential - forecasting a base model's performance before post-training. We propose RuDE (Rubric-based Discriminative Evaluation), a unified framework that bypasses the generation gap of base models by leveraging response discrimination. Guided by our systematic 4C Taxonomy, RuDE constructs controlled contrastive pairs across diverse domains by fine-grained rubric violations. Extensive experiments demonstrate a correlation greater than 90% with post-training performance. Crucially, validation via Reinforcement Learning (RL) confirms that RuDE effectively identifies high-potential smaller models that outperform larger counterparts, offering a compute-efficient mechanism for foundation model development.

preprint2026arXiv

SAGE: Scalable Automated Robustness Augmentation for LLM Knowledge Evaluation

Large Language Models (LLMs) achieve strong performance on standard knowledge evaluation benchmarks, yet recent work shows that their knowledge capabilities remain brittle under question variants that test the same knowledge in different forms. Robustness augmentation of existing knowledge evaluation benchmarks is therefore necessary, but current LLM-assisted generate-then-verify pipelines are costly and difficult to scale due to low-yield variant generation and unreliable variant verification. We propose SAGE (Scalable Automated Generation of Robustness BEnchmarks), a framework for scalable robustness augmentation of knowledge evaluation benchmarks using fine-tuned smaller models. SAGE consists of VariantQual, a rubric-based verifier trained on human-labeled seed data, and VariantGen, a variant generator initialized with supervised fine-tuning and further optimized with reinforcement learning using VariantQual as the reward model. Experiments on HellaSwag show that SAGE constructs a large-scale robustness-augmented benchmark with quality comparable to the human-annotated HellaSwag-Pro at substantially lower cost, while the fine-tuned models further generalize to MMLU without benchmark-specific fine-tuning.

preprint2026arXiv

SkillGraph: Skill-Augmented Reinforcement Learning for Agents via Evolving Skill Graphs

Skill libraries enable large language model agents to reuse experience from past interactions, but most existing libraries store skills as isolated entries and retrieve them only by semantic similarity. This leads to two key challenges for compositional tasks. Firstly, an agent must identify not only relevant skills but also how they depend on and build upon each other. Secondly, it also makes library maintenance difficult, since the system lacks structural cues for deciding when skills should be merged, split, or removed. We propose SKILLGRAPH, a framework that represents reusable skills as nodes in a directed graph, with typed edges encoding prerequisite, enhancement, and co-occurrence relations. Given a new task, SKILLGRAPH retrieves not just individual skills, but an ordered skill subgraph that can guide multi-step decision making. The graph is continuously updated from agent trajectories and reinforcement learning feedback, allowing both the skill library and the agent policy to improve together. Experiments on ALFWorld, WebShop, and seven search-augmented QA tasks show that SKILLGRAPH achieves state-of-the-art performance against memory-augmented RL methods, with especially large gains on complex tasks that require composing multiple skills.

preprint2022arXiv

Mechanism, measurement, and quantification of stress in decision process: a model based systematic-review protocol

Every human action begins with decision-making. Stress is a significant source of biases that can influence human decision-making. In order to understand the relationship between stress and decision-making, stress quantification is fundamental. Different methods of measuring and quantifying stress in decision-making have been described in the literature while an up-to-date systematic review of the existing methods is lacking. Moreover, mental stress, mental effort, cognitive workload, and workload are often used interchangeably but should be distinguished to enable in-depth investigations of decision-mechanisms. Our objectives are to clarify stress related concepts and review the measurement, quantification, and application of stress during decision making activities.

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