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Xiang Li

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3 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

ALSO: Adversarial Online Strategy Optimization for Social Agents

Social simulation provides a compelling testbed for studying social intelligence, where agents interact through multi-turn dialogues under evolving contexts and strategically adapting opponents. Such environments are inherently non-stationary, requiring agents to dynamically adjust their strategies over time. However, most Large Language Model (LLM) based social agents rely on static personas, while existing approaches for enhancing social intelligence, such as offline reinforcement learning or external planners, are ill-suited to these settings, typically assuming stationarity and incurring substantial training overhead. To bridge this gap, we propose \textbf{ALSO} (\textbf{A}dversarial on\textbf{L}ine \textbf{S}trategy \textbf{O}ptimization), the first framework for online strategy optimization in multi-agent social simulation. ALSO advances social adaptation through two key contributions. (1) ALSO formulates multi-turn interaction as an adversarial bandit problem, where combinations of static personas and dynamic strategy instructions are treated as arms, providing a principled solution to non-stationarity without relying on environmental stability assumptions. (2) To predict rewards and generalize sparse feedback in multi-turn dialogues, ALSO introduces a lightweight neural surrogate to predict rewards from interaction histories, enabling sample-efficient exploration and continuous online adaptation. Experiments on the Sotopia benchmark demonstrate that ALSO consistently outperforms static baselines and existing optimization methods in dynamic environments, validating the effectiveness of adversarial online strategy optimization for building robust social agents.

preprint2026arXiv

Metis AI: The Overlooked Middle Zone Between AI-Native and World-Movers

The dominant discourse on AI limitations frames the boundary of AI capability as a divide between digital tasks (where AI excels) and physical tasks (where embodiment is required). We argue this framing misses the most consequential boundary: the one within digital tasks. We identify a class of tasks we call Metis AI, named for the Greek concept of metis (practical, contextual knowledge), that are performed entirely on computers yet resist reliable AI automation. These tasks are not computationally intractable; they are institutionally, socially, and normatively entangled in ways that defeat algorithmic approaches. We distinguish constitutive metis (knowledge destroyed by the act of formalization) from operational metis (system-specific familiarity that automation can progressively absorb), and propose five structural characteristics that define the Metis AI zone: consequential irreversibility, relational irreducibility, normative open texture, adversarial co-evolution, and accountability anchoring. We ground each in established theory from across the social sciences, philosophy, and humanitarian practice, argue that these characteristics are properties of the tasks themselves rather than limitations of current models, and show that the appropriate design response is not better automation but centaur architectures in which humans lead and AI supports.

preprint2026arXiv

Q-MMR: Off-Policy Evaluation via Recursive Reweighting and Moment Matching

We present a novel theoretical framework, Q-MMR, for off-policy evaluation in finite-horizon MDPs. Q-MMR learns a set of scalar weights, one for each data point, such that the reweighted rewards approximate the expected return under the target policy. The weights are learned inductively in a top-down manner via a moment matching objective against a value-function discriminator class. Notably, and perhaps surprisingly, a data-dependent finite-sample guarantee for general function approximation can be established under only the realizability of $Q^π$, with a dimension-free bound -- that is, the error does not depend on the statistical complexity of the function class. We also establish connections to several existing methods, such as importance sampling and linear FQE. Further theoretical analyses shed new light on the nature of coverage, a concept of fundamental importance to offline RL.