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Vladimir Pavlovic

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Published work

21 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Enhancing Consistency Models for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction

Diffusion models for multi-agent trajectory prediction are limited by iterative denoising, which causes inference latency that hinders their use in time-critical settings like autonomous driving. Fast-sampling variants using DDIM and informed initial noise distributions partially alleviate this issue, but they either fail to achieve true single-step generation or are constrained by the chosen noise distribution. Consistency Models (CMs) offer high-quality one-step generation by mapping noise directly to data, but are difficult to train from scratch . We propose ECTraj, an enhanced CM pipeline with improved training and conditional generation for trajectory prediction. Our framework extends the student-teacher consistency training scheme: the student produces standard outputs, while the teacher explicitly fuses its predictions with parts of the ground truth to give stronger supervision. We also exploit CMs' direct denoising for top-K multi-shot generation during training. Combining conditional generation with this enhanced consistency objective yields faster inference and improved prediction accuracy, establishing competitive new benchmarks on the large-scale Argoverse 2 dataset.

preprint2026arXiv

MemEye: A Visual-Centric Evaluation Framework for Multimodal Agent Memory

Long-term agent memory is increasingly multimodal, yet existing evaluations rarely test whether agents preserve the visual evidence needed for later reasoning. In prior work, many visually grounded questions can be answered using only captions or textual traces, allowing answers to be inferred without preserving the fine-grained visual evidence. Meanwhile, harder cases that require reasoning over changing visual states are largely absent. Therefore, we introduce MemEye, a framework that evaluates memory capabilities from two dimensions: one measures the granularity of decisive visual evidence (from scene-level to pixel-level evidence), and the other measures how retrieved evidence must be used (from single evidence to evolutionary synthesis). Under this framework, we construct a new benchmark across 8 life-scenario tasks, with ablation-driven validation gates for assessing answerability, shortcut resistance, visual necessity, and reasoning structure. By evaluating 13 memory methods across 4 VLM backbones, we show that current architectures still struggle to preserve fine-grained visual details and reason about state changes over time. Our findings show that long-term multimodal memory depends on evidence routing, temporal tracking, and detail extraction.

preprint2022arXiv

Cross-Modal Coherence for Text-to-Image Retrieval

Common image-text joint understanding techniques presume that images and the associated text can universally be characterized by a single implicit model. However, co-occurring images and text can be related in qualitatively different ways, and explicitly modeling it could improve the performance of current joint understanding models. In this paper, we train a Cross-Modal Coherence Modelfor text-to-image retrieval task. Our analysis shows that models trained with image--text coherence relations can retrieve images originally paired with target text more often than coherence-agnostic models. We also show via human evaluation that images retrieved by the proposed coherence-aware model are preferred over a coherence-agnostic baseline by a huge margin. Our findings provide insights into the ways that different modalities communicate and the role of coherence relations in capturing commonsense inferences in text and imagery.

preprint2022arXiv

DAReN: A Collaborative Approach Towards Reasoning And Disentangling

Computational learning approaches to solving visual reasoning tests, such as Raven's Progressive Matrices (RPM), critically depend on the ability to identify the visual concepts used in the test (i.e., the representation) as well as the latent rules based on those concepts (i.e., the reasoning). However, learning of representation and reasoning is a challenging and ill-posed task, often approached in a stage-wise manner (first representation, then reasoning). In this work, we propose an end-to-end joint representation-reasoning learning framework, which leverages a weak form of inductive bias to improve both tasks together. Specifically, we introduce a general generative graphical model for RPMs, GM-RPM, and apply it to solve the reasoning test. We accomplish this using a novel learning framework Disentangling based Abstract Reasoning Network (DAReN) based on the principles of GM-RPM. We perform an empirical evaluation of DAReN over several benchmark datasets. DAReN shows consistent improvement over state-of-the-art (SOTA) models on both the reasoning and the disentanglement tasks. This demonstrates the strong correlation between disentangled latent representation and the ability to solve abstract visual reasoning tasks.

preprint2022arXiv

MUSE-VAE: Multi-Scale VAE for Environment-Aware Long Term Trajectory Prediction

Accurate long-term trajectory prediction in complex scenes, where multiple agents (e.g., pedestrians or vehicles) interact with each other and the environment while attempting to accomplish diverse and often unknown goals, is a challenging stochastic forecasting problem. In this work, we propose MUSE, a new probabilistic modeling framework based on a cascade of Conditional VAEs, which tackles the long-term, uncertain trajectory prediction task using a coarse-to-fine multi-factor forecasting architecture. In its Macro stage, the model learns a joint pixel-space representation of two key factors, the underlying environment and the agent movements, to predict the long and short-term motion goals. Conditioned on them, the Micro stage learns a fine-grained spatio-temporal representation for the prediction of individual agent trajectories. The VAE backbones across the two stages make it possible to naturally account for the joint uncertainty at both levels of granularity. As a result, MUSE offers diverse and simultaneously more accurate predictions compared to the current state-of-the-art. We demonstrate these assertions through a comprehensive set of experiments on nuScenes and SDD benchmarks as well as PFSD, a new synthetic dataset, which challenges the forecasting ability of models on complex agent-environment interaction scenarios.

preprint2022arXiv

NP-Match: When Neural Processes meet Semi-Supervised Learning

Semi-supervised learning (SSL) has been widely explored in recent years, and it is an effective way of leveraging unlabeled data to reduce the reliance on labeled data. In this work, we adjust neural processes (NPs) to the semi-supervised image classification task, resulting in a new method named NP-Match. NP-Match is suited to this task for two reasons. Firstly, NP-Match implicitly compares data points when making predictions, and as a result, the prediction of each unlabeled data point is affected by the labeled data points that are similar to it, which improves the quality of pseudo-labels. Secondly, NP-Match is able to estimate uncertainty that can be used as a tool for selecting unlabeled samples with reliable pseudo-labels. Compared with uncertainty-based SSL methods implemented with Monte Carlo (MC) dropout, NP-Match estimates uncertainty with much less computational overhead, which can save time at both the training and the testing phases. We conducted extensive experiments on four public datasets, and NP-Match outperforms state-of-the-art (SOTA) results or achieves competitive results on them, which shows the effectiveness of NP-Match and its potential for SSL.

preprint2022arXiv

SAViR-T: Spatially Attentive Visual Reasoning with Transformers

We present a novel computational model, "SAViR-T", for the family of visual reasoning problems embodied in the Raven's Progressive Matrices (RPM). Our model considers explicit spatial semantics of visual elements within each image in the puzzle, encoded as spatio-visual tokens, and learns the intra-image as well as the inter-image token dependencies, highly relevant for the visual reasoning task. Token-wise relationship, modeled through a transformer-based SAViR-T architecture, extract group (row or column) driven representations by leveraging the group-rule coherence and use this as the inductive bias to extract the underlying rule representations in the top two row (or column) per token in the RPM. We use this relation representations to locate the correct choice image that completes the last row or column for the RPM. Extensive experiments across both synthetic RPM benchmarks, including RAVEN, I-RAVEN, RAVEN-FAIR, and PGM, and the natural image-based "V-PROM" demonstrate that SAViR-T sets a new state-of-the-art for visual reasoning, exceeding prior models' performance by a considerable margin.

preprint2021arXiv

CHEF: Cross-modal Hierarchical Embeddings for Food Domain Retrieval

Despite the abundance of multi-modal data, such as image-text pairs, there has been little effort in understanding the individual entities and their different roles in the construction of these data instances. In this work, we endeavour to discover the entities and their corresponding importance in cooking recipes automaticall} as a visual-linguistic association problem. More specifically, we introduce a novel cross-modal learning framework to jointly model the latent representations of images and text in the food image-recipe association and retrieval tasks. This model allows one to discover complex functional and hierarchical relationships between images and text, and among textual parts of a recipe including title, ingredients and cooking instructions. Our experiments show that by making use of efficient tree-structured Long Short-Term Memory as the text encoder in our computational cross-modal retrieval framework, we are not only able to identify the main ingredients and cooking actions in the recipe descriptions without explicit supervision, but we can also learn more meaningful feature representations of food recipes, appropriate for challenging cross-modal retrieval and recipe adaption tasks.

preprint2021arXiv

Reducing the Amortization Gap in Variational Autoencoders: A Bayesian Random Function Approach

Variational autoencoder (VAE) is a very successful generative model whose key element is the so called amortized inference network, which can perform test time inference using a single feed forward pass. Unfortunately, this comes at the cost of degraded accuracy in posterior approximation, often underperforming the instance-wise variational optimization. Although the latest semi-amortized approaches mitigate the issue by performing a few variational optimization updates starting from the VAE's amortized inference output, they inherently suffer from computational overhead for inference at test time. In this paper, we address the problem in a completely different way by considering a random inference model, where we model the mean and variance functions of the variational posterior as random Gaussian processes (GP). The motivation is that the deviation of the VAE's amortized posterior distribution from the true posterior can be regarded as random noise, which allows us to take into account the uncertainty in posterior approximation in a principled manner. In particular, our model can quantify the difficulty in posterior approximation by a Gaussian variational density. Inference in our GP model is done by a single feed forward pass through the network, significantly faster than semi-amortized methods. We show that our approach attains higher test data likelihood than the state-of-the-arts on several benchmark datasets.

preprint2020arXiv

CookGAN: Meal Image Synthesis from Ingredients

In this work we propose a new computational framework, based on generative deep models, for synthesis of photo-realistic food meal images from textual list of its ingredients. Previous works on synthesis of images from text typically rely on pre-trained text models to extract text features, followed by generative neural networks (GAN) aimed to generate realistic images conditioned on the text features. These works mainly focus on generating spatially compact and well-defined categories of objects, such as birds or flowers, but meal images are significantly more complex, consisting of multiple ingredients whose appearance and spatial qualities are further modified by cooking methods. To generate real-like meal images from ingredients, we propose Cook Generative Adversarial Networks (CookGAN), CookGAN first builds an attention-based ingredients-image association model, which is then used to condition a generative neural network tasked with synthesizing meal images. Furthermore, a cycle-consistent constraint is added to further improve image quality and control appearance. Experiments show our model is able to generate meal images corresponding to the ingredients.

preprint2020arXiv

Ordinal-Content VAE: Isolating Ordinal-Valued Content Factors in Deep Latent Variable Models

In deep representational learning, it is often desired to isolate a particular factor (termed {\em content}) from other factors (referred to as {\em style}). What constitutes the content is typically specified by users through explicit labels in the data, while all unlabeled/unknown factors are regarded as style. Recently, it has been shown that such content-labeled data can be effectively exploited by modifying the deep latent factor models (e.g., VAE) such that the style and content are well separated in the latent representations. However, the approach assumes that the content factor is categorical-valued (e.g., subject ID in face image data, or digit class in the MNIST dataset). In certain situations, the content is ordinal-valued, that is, the values the content factor takes are {\em ordered} rather than categorical, making content-labeled VAEs, including the latent space they infer, suboptimal. In this paper, we propose a novel extension of VAE that imposes a partially ordered set (poset) structure in the content latent space, while simultaneously making it aligned with the ordinal content values. To this end, instead of the iid Gaussian latent prior adopted in prior approaches, we introduce a conditional Gaussian spacing prior model. This model admits a tractable joint Gaussian prior, but also effectively places negligible density values on the content latent configurations that violate the poset constraint. To evaluate this model, we consider two specific ordinal structured problems: estimating a subject's age in a face image and elucidating the calorie amount in a food meal image. We demonstrate significant improvements in content-style separation over previous non-ordinal approaches.

preprint2016arXiv

Robust Time-Series Retrieval Using Probabilistic Adaptive Segmental Alignment

Traditional pairwise sequence alignment is based on matching individual samples from two sequences, under time monotonicity constraints. However, in many application settings matching subsequences (segments) instead of individual samples may bring in additional robustness to noise or local non-causal perturbations. This paper presents an approach to segmental sequence alignment that jointly segments and aligns two sequences, generalizing the traditional per-sample alignment. To accomplish this task, we introduce a distance metric between segments based on average pairwise distances and then present a modified pair-HMM (PHMM) that incorporates the proposed distance metric to solve the joint segmentation and alignment task. We also propose a relaxation to our model that improves the computational efficiency of the generic segmental PHMM. Our results demonstrate that this new measure of sequence similarity can lead to improved classification performance, while being resilient to noise, on a variety of sequence retrieval problems, from EEG to motion sequence classification.

preprint2015arXiv

D-MFVI: Distributed Mean Field Variational Inference using Bregman ADMM

Bayesian models provide a framework for probabilistic modelling of complex datasets. However, many of such models are computationally demanding especially in the presence of large datasets. On the other hand, in sensor network applications, statistical (Bayesian) parameter estimation usually needs distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. In this paper we propose a general framework for distributed Bayesian learning using Bregman Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (B-ADMM). We demonstrate the utility of our framework, with Mean Field Variational Bayes (MFVB) as the primitive for distributed Matrix Factorization (MF) and distributed affine structure from motion (SfM).

preprint2015arXiv

Fast ADMM Algorithm for Distributed Optimization with Adaptive Penalty

We propose new methods to speed up convergence of the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM), a common optimization tool in the context of large scale and distributed learning. The proposed method accelerates the speed of convergence by automatically deciding the constraint penalty needed for parameter consensus in each iteration. In addition, we also propose an extension of the method that adaptively determines the maximum number of iterations to update the penalty. We show that this approach effectively leads to an adaptive, dynamic network topology underlying the distributed optimization. The utility of the new penalty update schemes is demonstrated on both synthetic and real data, including a computer vision application of distributed structure from motion.

preprint2015arXiv

Gaussian Process for Noisy Inputs with Ordering Constraints

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However, in some instances additional constraints may be available that can reduce the uncertainty in the resulting predictive models. In particular, we consider the case of monotonically ordered latent input, which occurs in many application domains that deal with temporal data. We present a novel inference and learning approach based on non-parametric Gaussian variational approximation to learn the GP model while taking into account the new constraints. The resulting strategy allows one to gain access to posterior estimates of both the input and the output and results in improved predictive performance. We compare our proposed models to state-of-the-art Noisy Input Gaussian Process (NIGP) and other competing approaches on synthetic and real sea-level rise data. Experimental results suggest that the proposed approach consistently outperforms selected methods while, at the same time, reducing the computational costs of learning and inference.

preprint2015arXiv

Intrinsic Non-stationary Covariance Function for Climate Modeling

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and non-uniformly smooth spatial boundaries. A Gaussian process regression using a non-stationary covariance function has shown promise for this task, as this covariance function adapts to the variable correlation structure of the underlying distribution. In this paper, we generalize the non-stationary covariance function to address the aforementioned global scale geospatial issues. We define this generalized covariance function as an intrinsic non-stationary covariance function, because it uses intrinsic statistics of the symmetric positive definite matrices to represent the characteristic length scale and, thereby, models the local stochastic process. Experiments on a synthetic and real dataset of relative sea level changes across the world demonstrate improvements in the error metrics for the regression estimates using our newly proposed approach.

preprint2015arXiv

Multi-Cue Structure Preserving MRF for Unconstrained Video Segmentation

Video segmentation is a stepping stone to understanding video context. Video segmentation enables one to represent a video by decomposing it into coherent regions which comprise whole or parts of objects. However, the challenge originates from the fact that most of the video segmentation algorithms are based on unsupervised learning due to expensive cost of pixelwise video annotation and intra-class variability within similar unconstrained video classes. We propose a Markov Random Field model for unconstrained video segmentation that relies on tight integration of multiple cues: vertices are defined from contour based superpixels, unary potentials from temporal smooth label likelihood and pairwise potentials from global structure of a video. Multi-cue structure is a breakthrough to extracting coherent object regions for unconstrained videos in absence of supervision. Our experiments on VSB100 dataset show that the proposed model significantly outperforms competing state-of-the-art algorithms. Qualitative analysis illustrates that video segmentation result of the proposed model is consistent with human perception of objects.

preprint2015arXiv

Robust Performance-driven 3D Face Tracking in Long Range Depth Scenes

We introduce a novel robust hybrid 3D face tracking framework from RGBD video streams, which is capable of tracking head pose and facial actions without pre-calibration or intervention from a user. In particular, we emphasize on improving the tracking performance in instances where the tracked subject is at a large distance from the cameras, and the quality of point cloud deteriorates severely. This is accomplished by the combination of a flexible 3D shape regressor and the joint 2D+3D optimization on shape parameters. Our approach fits facial blendshapes to the point cloud of the human head, while being driven by an efficient and rapid 3D shape regressor trained on generic RGB datasets. As an on-line tracking system, the identity of the unknown user is adapted on-the-fly resulting in improved 3D model reconstruction and consequently better tracking performance. The result is a robust RGBD face tracker, capable of handling a wide range of target scene depths, beyond those that can be afforded by traditional depth or RGB face trackers. Lastly, since the blendshape is not able to accurately recover the real facial shape, we use the tracked 3D face model as a prior in a novel filtering process to further refine the depth map for use in other tasks, such as 3D reconstruction.

preprint2015arXiv

Variable-state Latent Conditional Random Fields for Facial Expression Recognition and Action Unit Detection

Automated recognition of facial expressions of emotions, and detection of facial action units (AUs), from videos depends critically on modeling of their dynamics. These dynamics are characterized by changes in temporal phases (onset-apex-offset) and intensity of emotion expressions and AUs, the appearance of which may vary considerably among target subjects, making the recognition/detection task very challenging. The state-of-the-art Latent Conditional Random Fields (L-CRF) framework allows one to efficiently encode these dynamics through the latent states accounting for the temporal consistency in emotion expression and ordinal relationships between its intensity levels, these latent states are typically assumed to be either unordered (nominal) or fully ordered (ordinal). Yet, such an approach is often too restrictive. For instance, in the case of AU detection, the goal is to discriminate between the segments of an image sequence in which this AU is active or inactive. While the sequence segments containing activation of the target AU may better be described using ordinal latent states, the inactive segments better be described using unordered (nominal) latent states, as no assumption can be made about their underlying structure (since they can contain either neutral faces or activations of non-target AUs). To address this, we propose the variable-state L-CRF (VSL-CRF) model that automatically selects the optimal latent states for the target image sequence. To reduce the model overfitting either the nominal or ordinal latent states, we propose a novel graph-Laplacian regularization of the latent states. Our experiments on three public expression databases show that the proposed model achieves better generalization performance compared to traditional L-CRFs and other related state-of-the-art models.

preprint2013arXiv

Variational Learning in Mixed-State Dynamic Graphical Models

Many real-valued stochastic time-series are locally linear (Gassian), but globally non-linear. For example, the trajectory of a human hand gesture can be viewed as a linear dynamic system driven by a nonlinear dynamic system that represents muscle actions. We present a mixed-state dynamic graphical model in which a hidden Markov model drives a linear dynamic system. This combination allows us to model both the discrete and continuous causes of trajectories such as human gestures. The number of computations needed for exact inference is exponential in the sequence length, so we derive an approximate variational inference technique that can also be used to learn the parameters of the discrete and continuous models. We show how the mixed-state model and the variational technique can be used to classify human hand gestures made with a computer mouse.

preprint2011arXiv

Learning Hypergraph Labeling for Feature Matching

This study poses the feature correspondence problem as a hypergraph node labeling problem. Candidate feature matches and their subsets (usually of size larger than two) are considered to be the nodes and hyperedges of a hypergraph. A hypergraph labeling algorithm, which models the subset-wise interaction by an undirected graphical model, is applied to label the nodes (feature correspondences) as correct or incorrect. We describe a method to learn the cost function of this labeling algorithm from labeled examples using a graphical model training algorithm. The proposed feature matching algorithm is different from the most of the existing learning point matching methods in terms of the form of the objective function, the cost function to be learned and the optimization method applied to minimize it. The results on standard datasets demonstrate how learning over a hypergraph improves the matching performance over existing algorithms, notably one that also uses higher order information without learning.