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Tirthankar Dasgupta

Tirthankar Dasgupta contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

6 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

GAR: Carbon-Aware Routing for LLM Inference via Constrained Optimization

The growing deployment of large language models (LLMs) makes per-request routing essential for balancing response quality and computational cost across heterogeneous model pools. Current routing methods rarely consider sustainable energy use and CO2 emissions as optimization objectives, despite grid carbon intensity varying by time and region, and models differing significantly in energy consumption. To address this gap, we introduce Green-Aware Routing (GAR), a constrained multi-objective optimization framework that minimizes per-request CO2 emissions subject to explicit accuracy floors and p95-latency service-level objectives (SLOs). GAR employs adaptive constraint optimization through per-dataset floor tuning and incorporates lightweight estimators for correctness, tail latency, and carbon emissions, enabling real-time routing decisions without additional inference passes. We present GAR-PD, a practical online primal-dual routing algorithm for rolling carbon budgets, alongside heuristic variants that achieve high feasibility coverage while limiting accuracy degradation. Comprehensive experiments across standard NLP benchmarks with heterogeneous LLM pools (7B-70B) demonstrate that GAR achieves substantial carbon reductions while maintaining competitive accuracy and p95 latency guarantees, providing a practical, theoretically grounded approach to sustainable LLM inference.

preprint2024arXiv

PICS: A sequential approach to obtain optimal designs for non-linear models leveraging closed-form solutions for faster convergence

D-Optimal designs for estimating parameters of response models are derived by maximizing the determinant of the Fisher information matrix. For non-linear models, the Fisher information matrix depends on the unknown parameter vector of interest, leading to a weird situation that in order to obtain the D-optimal design, one needs to have knowledge of the parameter to be estimated. One solution to this problem is to choose the design points sequentially, optimizing the D-optimality criterion using parameter estimates based on available data, followed by updating the parameter estimates using maximum likelihood estimation. On the other hand, there are many non-linear models for which closed-form results for D-optimal designs are available, but because such solutions involve the parameters to be estimated, they can only be used by substituting "guestimates" of parameters. In this paper, a hybrid sequential strategy called PICS (Plug into closed-form solution) is proposed that replaces the optimization of the objective function at every single step by a draw from the probability distribution induced by the known optimal design by plugging in the current estimates. Under regularity conditions, asymptotic normality of the sequence of estimators generated by this approach are established. Usefulness of this approach in terms of saving computational time and achieving greater efficiency of estimation compared to the standard sequential approach are demonstrated with simulations conducted from two different sets of models.

preprint2022arXiv

Causal inference from treatment-control studies having an additional factor with unknown assignment mechanism

Consider a situation with two treatments, the first of which is randomized but the second is not, and the multifactor version of this. Interest is in treatment effects, defined using standard factorial notation. We define estimators for the treatment effects and explore their properties when there is information about the nonrandomized treatment assignment and when there is no information on the assignment of the nonrandomized treatment. We show when and how hidden treatments can bias estimators and inflate their sampling variances.

preprint2020arXiv

An Email Experiment to Identify the Effect of Racial Discrimination on Access to Lawyers: A Statistical Approach

We consider the problem of conducting an experiment to study the prevalence of racial bias against individuals seeking legal assistance, in particular whether lawyers use clues about a potential client's race in deciding whether to reply to e-mail requests for representations. The problem of discriminating between potential linear and non-linear effects of a racial signal is formulated as a statistical inference problem, whose objective is to infer a parameter determining the shape of a specific function. Various complexities associated with the design and analysis of this experiment are handled by applying a novel combination of rigorous, semi-rigorous and rudimentary statistical techniques. The actual experiment was attempted with a population of lawyers in Florida, but could not be performed with the desired sample size due to resource limitations. Nonetheless, it provides a nice demonstration of the proposed steps involved in conducting such a study.

preprint2020arXiv

Leveraging the Fisher randomization test using confidence distributions: inference, combination and fusion learning

The flexibility and wide applicability of the Fisher randomization test (FRT) makes it an attractive tool for assessment of causal effects of interventions from modern-day randomized experiments that are increasing in size and complexity. This paper provides a theoretical inferential framework for FRT by establishing its connection with confidence distributions Such a connection leads to development of (i) an unambiguous procedure for inversion of FRTs to generate confidence intervals with guaranteed coverage, (ii) generic and specific methods to combine FRTs from multiple independent experiments with theoretical guarantees and (iii) new insights on the effect of size of the Monte Carlo sample on the results of FRT. Our developments pertain to finite sample settings but have direct extensions to large samples. Simulations and a case example demonstrate the benefit of these new developments.

preprint2012arXiv

Causal inference from $2^k$ factorial designs using the potential outcomes model

A framework for causal inference from two-level factorial designs is proposed. The framework utilizes the concept of potential outcomes that lies at the center stage of causal inference and extends Neyman's repeated sampling approach for estimation of causal effects and randomization tests based on Fisher's sharp null hypothesis to the case of 2-level factorial experiments. The framework allows for statistical inference from a finite population, permits definition and estimation of estimands other than "average factorial effects" and leads to more flexible inference procedures than those based on ordinary least squares estimation from a linear model.