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Researcher profile

Tim Z. Xiao

Tim Z. Xiao contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate
Machine LearningArtificial IntelligenceComputation and LanguageComputer Vision

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Published work

5 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Learning POMDP World Models from Observations with Language-Model Priors

Whether navigating a building, operating a robot, or playing a game, an agent that acts effectively in an environment must first learn an internal model of how that environment works. Partially-observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide a flexible modeling class for such internal world models, but learning them from observation-action trajectories alone is challenging and typically requires extensive environment interaction. We ask whether language-model priors can reduce costly interaction by leveraging prior knowledge, and introduce \emph{Pinductor} (POMDP-inductor): an LLM proposes candidate POMDP models from a few observation-action trajectories and iteratively refines them to optimize a belief-based likelihood score. Despite using strictly less information, \emph{Pinductor} matches the performance and sample efficiency of LLM-based POMDP learning methods that assume privileged access to the hidden state, while significantly surpassing the sample efficiency of tabular POMDP baselines. Further results show that performance scales with LLM capability and degrades gracefully as semantic information about the environment is withheld. Together, these results position language-model priors as a practical tool for sample-efficient world-model learning under partial observability, and a step toward generalist agents in real-world environments. Code is available at https://github.com/atomresearch/pinductor.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2023arXiv

A Compact Representation for Bayesian Neural Networks By Removing Permutation Symmetry

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are a principled approach to modeling predictive uncertainties in deep learning, which are important in safety-critical applications. Since exact Bayesian inference over the weights in a BNN is intractable, various approximate inference methods exist, among which sampling methods such as Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) are often considered the gold standard. While HMC provides high-quality samples, it lacks interpretable summary statistics because its sample mean and variance is meaningless in neural networks due to permutation symmetry. In this paper, we first show that the role of permutations can be meaningfully quantified by a number of transpositions metric. We then show that the recently proposed rebasin method allows us to summarize HMC samples into a compact representation that provides a meaningful explicit uncertainty estimate for each weight in a neural network, thus unifying sampling methods with variational inference. We show that this compact representation allows us to compare trained BNNs directly in weight space across sampling methods and variational inference, and to efficiently prune neural networks trained without explicit Bayesian frameworks by exploiting uncertainty estimates from HMC.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Improving VAE-based Representation Learning

Latent variable models like the Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE) are commonly used to learn representations of images. However, for downstream tasks like semantic classification, the representations learned by VAE are less competitive than other non-latent variable models. This has led to some speculations that latent variable models may be fundamentally unsuitable for representation learning. In this work, we study what properties are required for good representations and how different VAE structure choices could affect the learned properties. We show that by using a decoder that prefers to learn local features, the remaining global features can be well captured by the latent, which significantly improves performance of a downstream classification task. We further apply the proposed model to semi-supervised learning tasks and demonstrate improvements in data efficiency.

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preprint2022arXiv

Out-of-Distribution Detection with Class Ratio Estimation

Density-based Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection has recently been shown unreliable for the task of detecting OOD images. Various density ratio based approaches achieve good empirical performance, however methods typically lack a principled probabilistic modelling explanation. In this work, we propose to unify density ratio based methods under a novel framework that builds energy-based models and employs differing base distributions. Under our framework, the density ratio can be viewed as the unnormalized density of an implicit semantic distribution. Further, we propose to directly estimate the density ratio of a data sample through class ratio estimation. We report competitive results on OOD image problems in comparison with recent work that alternatively requires training of deep generative models for the task. Our approach enables a simple and yet effective path towards solving the OOD detection problem.

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preprint2020arXiv

Wat zei je? Detecting Out-of-Distribution Translations with Variational Transformers

We detect out-of-training-distribution sentences in Neural Machine Translation using the Bayesian Deep Learning equivalent of Transformer models. For this we develop a new measure of uncertainty designed specifically for long sequences of discrete random variables -- i.e. words in the output sentence. Our new measure of uncertainty solves a major intractability in the naive application of existing approaches on long sentences. We use our new measure on a Transformer model trained with dropout approximate inference. On the task of German-English translation using WMT13 and Europarl, we show that with dropout uncertainty our measure is able to identify when Dutch source sentences, sentences which use the same word types as German, are given to the model instead of German.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access