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Stephen Price

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2 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

HUGO-CS: A Hybrid-Labeled, Uncertainty-Aware, General-Purpose, Observational Dataset for Cold Spray

Cold spraying is an increasingly common approach for repairing and manufacturing components due to its solid-state manufacturing capabilities. However, process optimization remains difficult due to many interdependent parameters and the lack of large-scale, machine-readable data to support modeling. While the scientific literature contains many relevant experiments, results are inconsistently reported (often in tables and figures) and use non-uniform units, limiting utilization at scale. To address these limitations, this work presents HUGO-CS, a literature-derived dataset of 4,383 cold-spray experiments with 144 features from 1,124 sources, exceeding the previous largest dataset (137 samples) by 30x. With completely manual extraction requiring an average of 91 minutes per document, this work designs and leverages a Hybrid-labeled, Uncertainty-aware, General-purpose, Observational extraction framework, called HUGO, to support this extraction. HUGO combines automated LLM-based labeling with targeted manual label refinement to handle this experimental result extraction process from scientific literature. To balance labeling efficiency with extraction accuracy, HUGO introduces a Hierarchical Risk Mitigation (HRM) to route LLM outputs with a high risk of potential errors for manual review, while retaining low-risk records as auto-labeled. Lastly, HUGO post-processing consolidates categorical descriptors, maps reported feedstock chemistries into structured continuous compositions, and normalizes units across sources. Of the 4,383 reported experiments, 1,765 are hand-labeled, providing a high-quality labeled subset for benchmarking, error analysis, and higher-fidelity data points. All code to replicate this work, along with the complete HUGO-CS dataset, are released under a CC-BY license at https://github.com/sprice134/HUGO.

preprint2026arXiv

Latent-Constrained Conditional VAEs for Augmenting Large-Scale Climate Ensembles

Large climate-model ensembles are computationally expensive; yet many downstream analyses would benefit from additional, statistically consistent realizations of spatiotemporal climate variables. We study a generative modeling approach for producing new realizations from a limited set of available runs by transferring structure learned across an ensemble. Using monthly near-surface temperature time series from ten independent reanalysis realizations (ERA5), we find that a vanilla conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE) trained jointly across realizations yields a fragmented latent space that fails to generalize to unseen ensemble members. To address this, we introduce a latent-constrained CVAE (LC-CVAE) that enforces cross-realization homogeneity of latent embeddings at a small set of shared geographic 'anchor' locations. We then use multi-output Gaussian process regression in the latent space to predict latent coordinates at unsampled locations in a new realization, followed by decoding to generate full time series fields. Experiments and ablations demonstrate (i) instability when training on a single realization, (ii) diminishing returns after incorporating roughly five realizations, and (iii) a trade-off between spatial coverage and reconstruction quality that is closely linked to the average neighbor distance in latent space.