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Sheng Pan

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2 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

LeapTS: Rethinking Time Series Forecasting as Adaptive Multi-Horizon Scheduling

Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat forecasting task as a fixed mapping from history to target horizons. This induces temporal decoupling across future time points and limits the model's ability to adapt to the evolving context as forecasting progresses. In this work, we present LeapTS, a novel framework that reformulates time series forecasting as a dynamic scheduling process over the prediction horizon. Specifically, LeapTS organizes the forecasting process into multi-level decisions using: (1) the hierarchical controller to dynamically select the optimal prediction scale and advancement length at each step, and (2) continuous-time state evolution driven by neural controlled differential equations. Within this process, the controlled update mechanism explicitly couples the irregular temporal dynamics with discrete scheduling feedback. Extensive evaluations on both real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate that LeapTS improves overall forecasting performance by at least 7.4% while achieving a 2.6$\times$ to 5.3$\times$ inference speedup over representative Transformer-based models. Furthermore, by explicitly tracing the scheduling trajectories, we reveal how the model autonomously adapts its forecasting behavior to capture non-stationary dynamics.

preprint2014arXiv

Spectrum and Energy Efficiency Evaluation of Two-Tier Femtocell networks With Partially Open Channels

Two-tier femtocell networks is an efficient communication architecture that significantly improves throughput in indoor environments with low power consumption. Traditionally, a femtocell network is usually configured to be either completely open or completely closed in that its channels are either made available to all users or used by its own users only. This may limit network flexibility and performance. It is desirable for owners of femtocell base stations if a femtocell can partially open its channels for external users access. In such scenarios, spectrum and energy efficiency becomes a critical issue in the design of femtocell network protocols and structure. In this paper, we conduct performance analysis for two-tier femtocell networks with partially open channels. In particular, we build a Markov chain to model the channel access in the femtocell network and then derive the performance metrics in terms of the blocking probabilities. Based on stationary state probabilities derived by Markov chain models, spectrum and energy efficiency are modeled and analyzed under different scenarios characterized by critical parameters, including number of femtocells in a macrocell, average number of users, and number of open channels in a femtocell. Numerical and Monte-Carlo (MC) simulation results indicate that the number of open channels in a femtocell has an adverse impact on the spectrum and energy efficiency of two-tier femtocell networks. Results in this paper provide guidelines for trading off spectrum and energy efficiency of two-tier femtocell networks by configuring different numbers of open channels in a femtocell.