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Nicolò Felicioni

Nicolò Felicioni appears in the imported research catalog. Authorship, coauthor and topic links are available while profile ownership is still unclaimed.

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Published work

2 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Fast Adversarial Attacks with Gradient Prediction

Generating adversarial examples at scale is a core primitive for robustness evaluation, adversarial training, and red-teaming, yet even "fast" attacks such as FGSM remain throughput-limited by the cost of a backward pass. We introduce a family of attacks that eliminates the backward pass by predicting the input gradient from forward-pass hidden states via a lightweight linear regression. The approach is motivated by a kernel view of neural networks and is exact in the Neural Tangent Kernel regime, while remaining effective for practical finite-width models. Empirically, our methods recover much of FGSM's attack performance while using only a small fraction of the time, corresponding to a $532\%$ increase in throughput. These results suggest gradient prediction as a simple and general route to significantly faster adversarial generation under realistic wall-clock constraints.

preprint2026arXiv

The Minimax Rate of Second-Order Calibration

We characterize the minimax rate of estimating the second-order calibration error for binary classification, which quantifies whether a higher-order predictor's epistemic-uncertainty estimate matches the conditional variance of the label probability on its level sets. Our key observation is that the sech perturbation kernel, previously used only to enforce smoothness of calibration functions, in fact makes them analytic in a strip of half-width $hπ/2$. Polynomial regression then estimates the calibration error at rate $\tilde{O}(1/\sqrt{n})$, with explicit constants, a qualitative improvement over the $O(n^{-1/4})$ rate achievable by bucketing or kernel smoothing. A matching $Ω(1/\sqrt{n})$ lower bound establishes minimax optimality up to logarithmic factors. As a corollary, we give the first finite-sample guarantee for second-order Platt scaling, yielding a post-hoc procedure that recalibrates both the mean prediction and the epistemic-variance estimate of any higher-order predictor. Along the way, we provide a bucket-free definition of second-order calibration and relate it quantitatively to the bucketed formulation of Ahdritz et al. [2025]. Our experiments confirm the predicted rate and the quality of the recalibrated uncertainties.