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Researcher profile

Martin Weigt

Martin Weigt contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate
cond-mat.stat-mechBiomoleculesQuantitative MethodsBiological Physicscond-mat.dis-nnPopulations and EvolutionGenomicsMachine LearningMolecular Networks

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Published work

7 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Expanding functional protein sequence space using high entropy generative models

Boltzmann Machines trained on evolutionary sequence data have emerged as a powerful paradigm for the data-driven design of artificial proteins. However, the relationship between model architecture, specifically parameter density, and experimental performance remains poorly understood. Here, we investigate this relationship using the Chorismate Mutase enzyme family as a model system. We compare standard fully connected Boltzmann Machines for Direct Coupling Analysis (bmDCA) with sparse models generated via progressive edge activation (eaDCA) and edge decimation (edDCA). We identify a maximum-entropy model (meDCA) along the decimation trajectory that represents an optimal balance between constraint satisfaction and the flexibility of the probability distribution. We synthesized and tested artificial sequences from all models using an in vivo complementation assay, finding that all architectures, regardless of sparsity, generate functional enzymes with high success rates, even at significant divergence from natural sequences. Despite this functional equivalence, we demonstrate that the meDCA model samples a viable sequence space that is more than fifteen orders of magnitude larger than its low-entropy counterparts. Furthermore, comparative analyses reveal that high-entropy models systematically minimize overfitting and better capture the local neutral spaces surrounding natural proteins. These findings suggest that while various models satisfying coevolutionary statistics can generate functional sequences, high-entropy Boltzmann Machines provide a superior representation of the underlying evolutionary fitness landscape.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Modeling sequence-space exploration and emergence of epistatic signals in protein evolution

During their evolution, proteins explore sequence space via an interplay between random mutations and phenotypic selection. Here we build upon recent progress in reconstructing data-driven fitness landscapes for families of homologous proteins, to propose stochastic models of experimental protein evolution. These models predict quantitatively important features of experimentally evolved sequence libraries, like fitness distributions and position-specific mutational spectra. They also allow us to efficiently simulate sequence libraries for a vast array of combinations of experimental parameters like sequence divergence, selection strength and library size. We showcase the potential of the approach in re-analyzing two recent experiments to determine protein structure from signals of epistasis emerging in experimental sequence libraries. To be detectable, these signals require sufficiently large and sufficiently diverged libraries. Our modeling framework offers a quantitative explanation for the variable success of recently published experiments. Furthermore, we can forecast the outcome of time- and resource-intensive evolution experiments, opening thereby a way to computationally optimize experimental protocols.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Statistical-physics approaches to RNA molecules, families and networks

This contribution focuses on the fascinating RNA molecule, its sequence-dependent folding driven by base-pairing interactions, the interplay between these interactions and natural evolution, and its multiple regulatory roles. The four of us have dug into these topics using the tools and the spirit of the statistical physics of disordered systems, and in particular the concept of a disordered (energy/fitness) landscape. After an introduction to RNA molecules and the perspectives they open not only in evolutionary and synthetic biology but also in medicine, we will introduce the important notions of energy and fitness landscapes for these molecules. In Section III we will review some models and algorithms for RNA sequence-to-secondary-structure mapping. Section IV discusses how the secondary-structure energy landscape can be derived from unzipping data. Section V deals with the inference of RNA structure from evolutionary sequence data sampled in different organisms. This will shift the focus from the `sequence-to-structure' mapping described in Section III to a `sequence-to-function' landscape that can be inferred from laboratory evolutionary data on DNA aptamers. Finally, in Section VI, we shall discuss the rich theoretical picture linking networks of interacting RNA molecules to the organization of robust, systemic regulatory programs. Along this path, we will therefore explore phenomena across multiple scales in space, number of molecules and time, showing how the biological complexity of the RNA world can be captured by the unifying concepts of statistical physics.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Epistatic models predict mutable sites in SARS-CoV-2 proteins and epitopes

The emergence of new variants of SARS-CoV-2 is a major concern given their potential impact on the transmissibility and pathogenicity of the virus as well as the efficacy of therapeutic interventions. Here, we predict the mutability of all positions in SARS-CoV-2 protein domains to forecast the appearance of unseen variants. Using sequence data from other coronaviruses, pre-existing to SARS-CoV-2, we build statistical models that do not only capture amino-acid conservation but more complex patterns resulting from epistasis. We show that these models are notably superior to conservation profiles in estimating the already observable SARS-CoV-2 variability. In the receptor binding domain of the spike protein, we observe that the predicted mutability correlates well with experimental measures of protein stability and that both are reliable mutability predictors (ROC AUC ~0.8). Most interestingly, we observe an increasing agreement between our model and the observed variability as more data become available over time, proving the anticipatory capacity of our model. When combined with data concerning the immune response, our approach identifies positions where current variants of concern are highly overrepresented. These results could assist studies on viral evolution, future viral outbreaks and, in particular, guide the exploration and anticipation of potentially harmful future SARS-CoV-2 variants.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Global multivariate model learning from hierarchically correlated data

Inverse statistical physics aims at inferring models compatible with a set of empirical averages estimated from a high-dimensional dataset of independently distributed equilibrium configurations of a given system. However, in several applications such as biology, data result from stochastic evolutionary processes, and configurations are related through a hierarchical structure, typically represented by a tree, and therefore not independent. In turn, empirical averages of observables superpose intrinsic signal related to the equilibrium distribution of the studied system and spurious historical (or phylogenetic) signal resulting from the structure underlying the data-generating process. The naive application of inverse statistical physics techniques therefore leads to systematic biases and an effective reduction of the sample size. To advance on the currently open task of extracting intrinsic signals from correlated data, we study a system described by a multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined on a finite tree. Using a Bayesian framework, we can disentangle covariances in the data corresponding to their multivariate Gaussian equilibrium distribution from those resulting from the historical correlations. Our approach leads to a clear gain in accuracy in the inferred equilibrium distribution, which corresponds to an effective two- to fourfold increase in sample size.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Statistical physics of interacting proteins: impact of dataset size and quality assessed in synthetic sequences

Identifying protein-protein interactions is crucial for a systems-level understanding of the cell. Recently, algorithms based on inverse statistical physics, e.g. Direct Coupling Analysis (DCA), have allowed to use evolutionarily related sequences to address two conceptually related inference tasks: finding pairs of interacting proteins, and identifying pairs of residues which form contacts between interacting proteins. Here we address two underlying questions: How are the performances of both inference tasks related? How does performance depend on dataset size and the quality? To this end, we formalize both tasks using Ising models defined over stochastic block models, with individual blocks representing single proteins, and inter-block couplings protein-protein interactions; controlled synthetic sequence data are generated by Monte-Carlo simulations. We show that DCA is able to address both inference tasks accurately when sufficiently large training sets are available, and that an iterative pairing algorithm (IPA) allows to make predictions even without a training set. Noise in the training data deteriorates performance. In both tasks we find a quadratic scaling relating dataset quality and size that is consistent with noise adding in square-root fashion and signal adding linearly when increasing the dataset. This implies that it is generally good to incorporate more data even if its quality is imperfect, thereby shedding light on the empirically observed performance of DCA applied to natural protein sequences.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2019arXiv

Phylogenetic correlations can suffice to infer protein partners from sequences

Determining which proteins interact together is crucial to a systems-level understanding of the cell. Recently, algorithms based on Direct Coupling Analysis (DCA) pairwise maximum-entropy models have allowed to identify interaction partners among paralogous proteins from sequence data. This success of DCA at predicting protein-protein interactions could be mainly based on its known ability to identify pairs of residues that are in contact in the three-dimensional structure of protein complexes and that coevolve to remain physicochemically complementary. However, interacting proteins possess similar evolutionary histories. What is the role of purely phylogenetic correlations in the performance of DCA-based methods to infer interaction partners? To address this question, we employ controlled synthetic data that only involve phylogeny and no interactions or contacts. We find that DCA accurately identifies the pairs of synthetic sequences that share evolutionary history. While phylogenetic correlations confound the identification of contacting residues by DCA, they are thus useful to predict interacting partners among paralogs. We find that DCA performs as well as phylogenetic methods to this end, and slightly better than them with large and accurate training sets. Employing DCA or phylogenetic methods within an Iterative Pairing Algorithm (IPA) allows to predict pairs of evolutionary partners without a training set. We demonstrate the ability of these various methods to correctly predict pairings among real paralogous proteins with genome proximity but no known physical interaction, illustrating the importance of phylogenetic correlations in natural data. However, for physically interacting and strongly coevolving proteins, DCA and mutual information outperform phylogenetic methods. We discuss how to distinguish physically interacting proteins from those only sharing evolutionary history.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access