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Researcher profile

Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Lars Schmidt-Thieme contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate
Machine LearningArtificial IntelligenceComputer VisionInformation Retrievalmath.OC

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Published work

18 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

NPMixer: Hierarchical Neighboring Patch Mixing for Time Series Forecasting

Multivariate time series forecasting remains a challenge due to the complexity of local temporal dynamics and global dependencies across multiple variables. In this paper, we propose \textbf{N}eighboring \textbf{P}atching \textbf{Mixer} (\textbf{NPMixer}), a hierarchical architecture featuring a Learnable Stationary Wavelet Transform that adaptively learns filter coefficients to decompose signals into trend and detail components in a data-dependent manner. Our framework introduces a Neighboring Mixer Block that captures local temporal dynamics through a series of hierarchical MLP layers operating on non-overlapping patches. Specifically, the mixer block utilizes MLPs to learn temporal patterns within and across these patches, expanding the receptive field to capture multi-scale dependencies. A Channel-Mixing Encoder is applied to high-frequency components to learn channel correlations while preserving the stability of the underlying global trend. Extensive experiments on seven benchmark datasets demonstrate that NPMixer consistently outperforms state-of-the-art models, achieving better performance in 20 out of 28 ($71.4\%$) evaluated experimental setups for MSE.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

Probabilistic Circuits for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Joint probabilistic modeling is essential for forecasting irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) to accurately quantify uncertainty. Existing approaches often struggle to balance model expressivity with consistent marginalization, frequently leading to unreliable or contradictory forecasts. To address this, we propose CircuITS, a novel architecture for probabilistic IMTS forecasting based on probabilistic circuits. Our model is flexible in capturing intricate dependencies between time series channels while structurally guaranteeing valid joint distributions. Experiments on four real world datasets demonstrate that CircuITS achieves superior joint and marginal density estimation compared to state of the art baselines.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

Rethinking Convolutional Networks for Attribute-Aware Sequential Recommendation

Attribute-aware sequential recommendation entails predicting the next item a user will interact with based on a chronologically ordered history of past interactions, enriched with item attributes. Existing methods typically leverage self-attention mechanisms to aggregate the entire sequence into a unified representation used for next-item prediction. While effective, these models often suffer from high computational complexity and memory consumption, limiting their ability to process long user histories. This constraint restricts the model's capacity to fully capture long-term user preferences. In some scenarios, modeling item interactions purely through attention may also not be the most effective approach to extract sequential patterns. In this work, we propose ConvRec, an alternative method with linear computational and memory complexity that employs convolutional layers in a hierarchical, down-scaled fashion to generate compact, yet expressive sequence representations. To further enhance the model's ability to capture diverse sequential patterns, each layer aggregates the neighboring items gradually to reach a comprehensive sequence representation. Extensive experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that our approach outperforms state-of-the-art sequential recommendation models, highlighting the potential of convolution-based architectures for efficient and effective sequence modeling in recommendation systems. Our implementation code and datasets are available here https://github.com/ismll-research/ConvRec.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

A.I. and Data-Driven Mobility at Volkswagen Financial Services AG

Machine learning is being widely adapted in industrial applications owing to the capabilities of commercially available hardware and rapidly advancing research. Volkswagen Financial Services (VWFS), as a market leader in vehicle leasing services, aims to leverage existing proprietary data and the latest research to enhance existing and derive new business processes. The collaboration between Information Systems and Machine Learning Lab (ISMLL) and VWFS serves to realize this goal. In this paper, we propose methods in the fields of recommender systems, object detection, and forecasting that enable data-driven decisions for the vehicle life-cycle at VWFS.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Attention, Filling in The Gaps for Generalization in Routing Problems

Machine Learning (ML) methods have become a useful tool for tackling vehicle routing problems, either in combination with popular heuristics or as standalone models. However, current methods suffer from poor generalization when tackling problems of different sizes or different distributions. As a result, ML in vehicle routing has witnessed an expansion phase with new methodologies being created for particular problem instances that become infeasible at larger problem sizes. This paper aims at encouraging the consolidation of the field through understanding and improving current existing models, namely the attention model by Kool et al. We identify two discrepancy categories for VRP generalization. The first is based on the differences that are inherent to the problems themselves, and the second relates to architectural weaknesses that limit the model's ability to generalize. Our contribution becomes threefold: We first target model discrepancies by adapting the Kool et al. method and its loss function for Sparse Dynamic Attention based on the alpha-entmax activation. We then target inherent differences through the use of a mixed instance training method that has been shown to outperform single instance training in certain scenarios. Finally, we introduce a framework for inference level data augmentation that improves performance by leveraging the model's lack of invariance to rotation and dilation changes.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

DCSF: Deep Convolutional Set Functions for Classification of Asynchronous Time Series

Asynchronous Time Series is a multivariate time series where all the channels are observed asynchronously-independently, making the time series extremely sparse when aligning them. We often observe this effect in applications with complex observation processes, such as health care, climate science, and astronomy, to name a few. Because of the asynchronous nature, they pose a significant challenge to deep learning architectures, which presume that the time series presented to them are regularly sampled, fully observed, and aligned with respect to time. This paper proposes a novel framework, that we call Deep Convolutional Set Functions (DCSF), which is highly scalable and memory efficient, for the asynchronous time series classification task. With the recent advancements in deep set learning architectures, we introduce a model that is invariant to the order in which time series' channels are presented to it. We explore convolutional neural networks, which are well researched for the closely related problem-classification of regularly sampled and fully observed time series, for encoding the set elements. We evaluate DCSF for AsTS classification, and online (per time point) AsTS classification. Our extensive experiments on multiple real-world and synthetic datasets verify that the suggested model performs substantially better than a range of state-of-the-art models in terms of accuracy and run time.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

End-to-End Image-Based Fashion Recommendation

In fashion-based recommendation settings, incorporating the item image features is considered a crucial factor, and it has shown significant improvements to many traditional models, including but not limited to matrix factorization, auto-encoders, and nearest neighbor models. While there are numerous image-based recommender approaches that utilize dedicated deep neural networks, comparisons to attribute-aware models are often disregarded despite their ability to be easily extended to leverage items' image features. In this paper, we propose a simple yet effective attribute-aware model that incorporates image features for better item representation learning in item recommendation tasks. The proposed model utilizes items' image features extracted by a calibrated ResNet50 component. We present an ablation study to compare incorporating the image features using three different techniques into the recommender system component that can seamlessly leverage any available items' attributes. Experiments on two image-based real-world recommender systems datasets show that the proposed model significantly outperforms all state-of-the-art image-based models.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Few-Shot Forecasting of Time-Series with Heterogeneous Channels

Learning complex time series forecasting models usually requires a large amount of data, as each model is trained from scratch for each task/data set. Leveraging learning experience with similar datasets is a well-established technique for classification problems called few-shot classification. However, existing approaches cannot be applied to time-series forecasting because i) multivariate time-series datasets have different channels and ii) forecasting is principally different from classification. In this paper we formalize the problem of few-shot forecasting of time-series with heterogeneous channels for the first time. Extending recent work on heterogeneous attributes in vector data, we develop a model composed of permutation-invariant deep set-blocks which incorporate a temporal embedding. We assemble the first meta-dataset of 40 multivariate time-series datasets and show through experiments that our model provides a good generalization, outperforming baselines carried over from simpler scenarios that either fail to learn across tasks or miss temporal information.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Improving Amharic Handwritten Word Recognition Using Auxiliary Task

Amharic is one of the official languages of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. It is one of the languages that use an Ethiopic script which is derived from Gee'z, ancient and currently a liturgical language. Amharic is also one of the most widely used literature-rich languages of Ethiopia. There are very limited innovative and customized research works in Amharic optical character recognition (OCR) in general and Amharic handwritten text recognition in particular. In this study, Amharic handwritten word recognition will be investigated. State-of-the-art deep learning techniques including convolutional neural networks together with recurrent neural networks and connectionist temporal classification (CTC) loss were used to make the recognition in an end-to-end fashion. More importantly, an innovative way of complementing the loss function using the auxiliary task from the row-wise similarities of the Amharic alphabet was tested to show a significant recognition improvement over a baseline method. Such findings will promote innovative problem-specific solutions as well as will open insight to a generalized solution that emerges from problem-specific domains.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Large Neighborhood Search based on Neural Construction Heuristics

We propose a Large Neighborhood Search (LNS) approach utilizing a learned construction heuristic based on neural networks as repair operator to solve the vehicle routing problem with time windows (VRPTW). Our method uses graph neural networks to encode the problem and auto-regressively decodes a solution and is trained with reinforcement learning on the construction task without requiring any labels for supervision. The neural repair operator is combined with a local search routine, heuristic destruction operators and a selection procedure applied to a small population to arrive at a sophisticated solution approach. The key idea is to use the learned model to re-construct the partially destructed solution and to introduce randomness via the destruction heuristics (or the stochastic policy itself) to effectively explore a large neighborhood.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Positive-Unlabeled Domain Adaptation

Domain Adaptation methodologies have shown to effectively generalize from a labeled source domain to a label scarce target domain. Previous research has either focused on unlabeled domain adaptation without any target supervision or semi-supervised domain adaptation with few labeled target examples per class. On the other hand Positive-Unlabeled (PU-) Learning has attracted increasing interest in the weakly supervised learning literature since in quite some real world applications positive labels are much easier to obtain than negative ones. In this work we are the first to introduce the challenge of Positive-Unlabeled Domain Adaptation where we aim to generalise from a fully labeled source domain to a target domain where only positive and unlabeled data is available. We present a novel two-step learning approach to this problem by firstly identifying reliable positive and negative pseudo-labels in the target domain guided by source domain labels and a positive-unlabeled risk estimator. This enables us to use a standard classifier on the target domain in a second step. We validate our approach by running experiments on benchmark datasets for visual object recognition. Furthermore we propose real world examples for our setting and validate our superior performance on parking occupancy data.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Supervised Permutation Invariant Networks for Solving the CVRP with Bounded Fleet Size

Learning to solve combinatorial optimization problems, such as the vehicle routing problem, offers great computational advantages over classical operations research solvers and heuristics. The recently developed deep reinforcement learning approaches either improve an initially given solution iteratively or sequentially construct a set of individual tours. However, most of the existing learning-based approaches are not able to work for a fixed number of vehicles and thus bypass the complex assignment problem of the customers onto an apriori given number of available vehicles. On the other hand, this makes them less suitable for real applications, as many logistic service providers rely on solutions provided for a specific bounded fleet size and cannot accommodate short term changes to the number of vehicles. In contrast we propose a powerful supervised deep learning framework that constructs a complete tour plan from scratch while respecting an apriori fixed number of available vehicles. In combination with an efficient post-processing scheme, our supervised approach is not only much faster and easier to train but also achieves competitive results that incorporate the practical aspect of vehicle costs. In thorough controlled experiments we compare our method to multiple state-of-the-art approaches where we demonstrate stable performance, while utilizing less vehicles and shed some light on existent inconsistencies in the experimentation protocols of the related work.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Zero-Shot AutoML with Pretrained Models

Given a new dataset D and a low compute budget, how should we choose a pre-trained model to fine-tune to D, and set the fine-tuning hyperparameters without risking overfitting, particularly if D is small? Here, we extend automated machine learning (AutoML) to best make these choices. Our domain-independent meta-learning approach learns a zero-shot surrogate model which, at test time, allows to select the right deep learning (DL) pipeline (including the pre-trained model and fine-tuning hyperparameters) for a new dataset D given only trivial meta-features describing D such as image resolution or the number of classes. To train this zero-shot model, we collect performance data for many DL pipelines on a large collection of datasets and meta-train on this data to minimize a pairwise ranking objective. We evaluate our approach under the strict time limit of the vision track of the ChaLearn AutoDL challenge benchmark, clearly outperforming all challenge contenders.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Dataset2Vec: Learning Dataset Meta-Features

Meta-learning, or learning to learn, is a machine learning approach that utilizes prior learning experiences to expedite the learning process on unseen tasks. As a data-driven approach, meta-learning requires meta-features that represent the primary learning tasks or datasets, and are estimated traditonally as engineered dataset statistics that require expert domain knowledge tailored for every meta-task. In this paper, first, we propose a meta-feature extractor called Dataset2Vec that combines the versatility of engineered dataset meta-features with the expressivity of meta-features learned by deep neural networks. Primary learning tasks or datasets are represented as hierarchical sets, i.e., as a set of sets, esp. as a set of predictor/target pairs, and then a DeepSet architecture is employed to regress meta-features on them. Second, we propose a novel auxiliary meta-learning task with abundant data called dataset similarity learning that aims to predict if two batches stem from the same dataset or different ones. In an experiment on a large-scale hyperparameter optimization task for 120 UCI datasets with varying schemas as a meta-learning task, we show that the meta-features of Dataset2Vec outperform the expert engineered meta-features and thus demonstrate the usefulness of learned meta-features for datasets with varying schemas for the first time.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Hyperparameter Optimization with Differentiable Metafeatures

Metafeatures, or dataset characteristics, have been shown to improve the performance of hyperparameter optimization (HPO). Conventionally, metafeatures are precomputed and used to measure the similarity between datasets, leading to a better initialization of HPO models. In this paper, we propose a cross dataset surrogate model called Differentiable Metafeature-based Surrogate (DMFBS), that predicts the hyperparameter response, i.e. validation loss, of a model trained on the dataset at hand. In contrast to existing models, DMFBS i) integrates a differentiable metafeature extractor and ii) is optimized using a novel multi-task loss, linking manifold regularization with a dataset similarity measure learned via an auxiliary dataset identification meta-task, effectively enforcing the response approximation for similar datasets to be similar. We compare DMFBS against several recent models for HPO on three large meta-datasets and show that it consistently outperforms all of them with an average 10% improvement. Finally, we provide an extensive ablation study that examines the different components of our approach.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Chameleon: Learning Model Initializations Across Tasks With Different Schemas

Parametric models, and particularly neural networks, require weight initialization as a starting point for gradient-based optimization. Recent work shows that a specific initial parameter set can be learned from a population of supervised learning tasks. Using this initial parameter set enables a fast convergence for unseen classes even when only a handful of instances is available (model-agnostic meta-learning). Currently, methods for learning model initializations are limited to a population of tasks sharing the same schema, i.e., the same number, order, type, and semantics of predictor and target variables. In this paper, we address the problem of meta-learning parameter initialization across tasks with different schemas, i.e., if the number of predictors varies across tasks, while they still share some variables. We propose Chameleon, a model that learns to align different predictor schemas to a common representation. In experiments on 23 datasets of the OpenML-CC18 benchmark, we show that Chameleon can successfully learn parameter initializations across tasks with different schemas, presenting, to the best of our knowledge, the first cross-dataset few-shot classification approach for unstructured data.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

HIDRA: Head Initialization across Dynamic targets for Robust Architectures

The performance of gradient-based optimization strategies depends heavily on the initial weights of the parametric model. Recent works show that there exist weight initializations from which optimization procedures can find the task-specific parameters faster than from uniformly random initializations and that such a weight initialization can be learned by optimizing a specific model architecture across similar tasks via MAML (Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning). Current methods are limited to populations of classification tasks that share the same number of classes due to the static model architectures used during meta-learning. In this paper, we present HIDRA, a meta-learning approach that enables training and evaluating across tasks with any number of target variables. We show that Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning trains a distribution for all the neurons in the output layer and a specific weight initialization for the ones in the hidden layers. HIDRA explores this by learning one master neuron, which is used to initialize any number of output neurons for a new task. Extensive experiments on the Miniimagenet and Omniglot data sets demonstrate that HIDRA improves over standard approaches while generalizing to tasks with any number of target variables. Moreover, our approach is shown to robustify low-capacity models in learning across complex tasks with a high number of classes for which regular MAML fails to learn any feasible initialization.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Learning to Solve Vehicle Routing Problems with Time Windows through Joint Attention

Many real-world vehicle routing problems involve rich sets of constraints with respect to the capacities of the vehicles, time windows for customers etc. While in recent years first machine learning models have been developed to solve basic vehicle routing problems faster than optimization heuristics, complex constraints rarely are taken into consideration. Due to their general procedure to construct solutions sequentially route by route, these methods generalize unfavorably to such problems. In this paper, we develop a policy model that is able to start and extend multiple routes concurrently by using attention on the joint action space of several tours. In that way the model is able to select routes and customers and thus learns to make difficult trade-offs between routes. In comprehensive experiments on three variants of the vehicle routing problem with time windows we show that our model called JAMPR works well for different problem sizes and outperforms the existing state-of-the-art constructive model. For two of the three variants it also creates significantly better solutions than a comparable meta-heuristic solver.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access