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Khizar Qureshi

Khizar Qureshi appears in the imported research catalog. Authorship, coauthor and topic links are available while profile ownership is still unclaimed.

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Published work

6 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Budget-Aware Routing for Long Clinical Text

A key challenge for large language models is token cost per query and overall deployment cost. Clinical inputs are long, heterogeneous, and often redundant, while downstream tasks are short and high stakes. We study budgeted context selection, where a subset of document units is chosen under a strict token budget so an off-the-shelf generator can meet fixed cost and latency constraints. We cast this as a knapsack-constrained subset selection problem with two design choices, unitization that defines document segmentation and selection that determines which units are kept. We propose \textbf{RCD}, a monotone submodular objective that balances relevance, coverage, and diversity. We compare sentence, section, window, and cluster-based unitization, and introduce a routing heuristic that adapts to the budget regime. Experiments on MIMIC discharge notes, Cochrane abstracts, and L-Eval show that optimal strategies depend on the evaluation setting. Positional heuristics perform best at low budgets in extractive tasks, while diversity-aware methods such as MMR improve LLM generation. Selector choice matters more than unitization, with cluster-based grouping reducing performance and other schemes behaving similarly. ROUGE saturates for LLM summaries, while BERTScore better reflects quality differences. We release our code at https://github.com/stone-technologies/ACL_budget_paper.

preprint2026arXiv

Emissions-Robust Portfolios

We study portfolio choice when firm-level emissions intensities are measured with error. We introduce a scope-specific penalty operator that rescales asset payoffs as a smooth function of revenue-normalized emissions intensity. Under payoff homogeneity, unit-scale invariance, mixture linearity, and a curvature semigroup axiom, the operator is unique and has the closed form $P^{(m)}_j(r,λ)=\bigl(1-λ/λ_{\max,j}\bigr)^m r$. Combining this operator with norm- and moment-constrained ambiguity sets yields robust mean-variance and CVaR programs with exact linear and second-order cone reformulations and economically interpretable dual variables. In a U.S. large-cap equity universe with monthly rebalancing and uniform transaction costs, the resulting strategy reduces average Scope~1 emissions intensity by roughly 92\% relative to equal weight while exhibiting no statistically detectable reduction in the Sharpe ratio under block-bootstrap inference and no statistically detectable change in average returns under HAC inference. We report the return-emissions Pareto frontier, sensitivity to robustness and turnover constraints, and uncertainty propagation from multiple imputation of emissions disclosures.

preprint2020arXiv

Mitigating the Backfire Effect Using Pacing and Leading

Online social networks create echo-chambers where people are infrequently exposed to opposing opinions. Even if such exposure occurs, the persuasive effect may be minimal or nonexistent. Recent studies have shown that exposure to opposing opinions causes a backfire effect, where people become more steadfast in their original beliefs. We conducted a longitudinal field experiment on Twitter to test methods that mitigate the backfire effect while exposing people to opposing opinions. Our subjects were Twitter users with anti-immigration sentiment. The backfire effect was defined as an increase in the usage frequency of extreme anti-immigration language in the subjects' posts. We used automated Twitter accounts, or bots, to apply different treatments to the subjects. One bot posted only pro-immigration content, which we refer to as arguing. Another bot initially posted anti-immigration content, then gradually posted more pro-immigration content, which we refer to as pacing and leading. We also applied a contact treatment in conjunction with the messaging based methods, where the bots liked the subjects' posts. We found that the most effective treatment was a combination of pacing and leading with contact. The least effective treatment was arguing with contact. In fact, arguing with contact consistently showed a backfire effect relative to a control group. These findings have many limitations, but they still have important implications for the study of political polarization, the backfire effect, and persuasion in online social networks.

preprint2016arXiv

Mortgages and Refinancing

In general, homeowners refinance in response to a decrease in interest rates, as their borrowing costs are lowered. However, it is worth investigating the effects of refinancing after taking the underlying costs into consideration. Here we develop a synthetic mortgage calculator that sufficiently accounts for such costs and the implications on new monthly payments. To confirm the accuracy of the calculator, we simulate the effects of refinancing over 15 and 30 year periods. We then model the effects of refinancing as risk to the issuer of the mortgage, as there is negative duration associated with shifts in the interest rate. Furthermore, we investigate the effects on the swap market as well as the treasury bond market. We model stochastic interest rates using the Vasicek model.

preprint2016arXiv

Value-at-Risk: The Effect of Autoregression in a Quantile Process

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is an institutional measure of risk favored by financial regulators. VaR may be interpreted as a quantile of future portfolio values conditional on the information available, where the most common quantile used is 95%. Here we demonstrate Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk, first introduced by Engle, Manganelli (2001). CAViaR suggests that negative/positive returns are not i.i.d., and that there is significant autocorrelation. The model is tested using data from 1986- 1999 and 1999-2009 for GM, IBM, XOM, SPX, and then validated via the dynamic quantile test. Results suggest that the tails (upper/lower quantile) of a distribution of returns behave differently than the core.