Researcher profile

Jerry Chen

Jerry Chen contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

3 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

TabPFN-3: Technical Report

Tabular data underpins most high-value prediction problems in science and industry, and TabPFN has driven the foundation model revolution for this modality. Designed with feedback from our users, TabPFN-3 builds on this foundation to scale state-of-the-art performance to datasets with 1M training rows and substantially reduce training and inference time. Pretrained exclusively on synthetic data from our prior, TabPFN-3 dramatically pushes the frontier of tabular prediction and brings substantial gains on time series, relational, and tabular-text data. On the standard tabular benchmark TabArena, a forward pass of TabPFN-3 outperforms all other models, including tuned and ensembled baselines, by a significant margin, and pareto-dominates the speed/performance frontier. On more diverse datasets, TabPFN-3 ranks first on datasets with many classes, and beats 8-hour-tuned gradient-boosted-tree baselines on datasets up to 1M training rows and 200 features. TabPFN-3 introduces test-time compute scaling to tabular foundation models. Our API offering TabPFN-3-Plus (Thinking) exploits this to beat all non-TabPFN models by over 200 Elo on TabArena, rising to 420 Elo on the largest data subset, and outperforms AutoGluon 1.5 extreme while being 10x faster, without using LLMs, real data, internet search or any other model besides TabPFN. TabPFN-3 extends the capabilities of our models, enabling SOTA prediction on relational data (new SOTA foundation model on RelBenchV1) and tabular-text data (SOTA on TabSTAR via TabPFN-3-Plus); and improves existing integrations: a specialized checkpoint, TabPFN-TS-3, ranks 2nd on the time-series benchmark fev-bench, and SHAP-value computation is up to 120x faster. TabPFN-3 achieves this performance while being up to 20x faster than TabPFN-2.5. In addition, a reduced KV cache and row-chunking scale to 1M rows on one H100 with fast inference speed.

preprint2023arXiv

Learning a Formality-Aware Japanese Sentence Representation

While the way intermediate representations are generated in encoder-decoder sequence-to-sequence models typically allow them to preserve the semantics of the input sentence, input features such as formality might be left out. On the other hand, downstream tasks such as translation would benefit from working with a sentence representation that preserves formality in addition to semantics, so as to generate sentences with the appropriate level of social formality -- the difference between speaking to a friend versus speaking with a supervisor. We propose a sequence-to-sequence method for learning a formality-aware representation for Japanese sentences, where sentence generation is conditioned on both the original representation of the input sentence, and a side constraint which guides the sentence representation towards preserving formality information. Additionally, we propose augmenting the sentence representation with a learned representation of formality which facilitates the extraction of formality in downstream tasks. We address the lack of formality-annotated parallel data by adapting previous works on procedural formality classification of Japanese sentences. Experimental results suggest that our techniques not only helps the decoder recover the formality of the input sentence, but also slightly improves the preservation of input sentence semantics.

preprint2022arXiv

Trucks Don't Mean Trump: Diagnosing Human Error in Image Analysis

Algorithms provide powerful tools for detecting and dissecting human bias and error. Here, we develop machine learning methods to to analyze how humans err in a particular high-stakes task: image interpretation. We leverage a unique dataset of 16,135,392 human predictions of whether a neighborhood voted for Donald Trump or Joe Biden in the 2020 US election, based on a Google Street View image. We show that by training a machine learning estimator of the Bayes optimal decision for each image, we can provide an actionable decomposition of human error into bias, variance, and noise terms, and further identify specific features (like pickup trucks) which lead humans astray. Our methods can be applied to ensure that human-in-the-loop decision-making is accurate and fair and are also applicable to black-box algorithmic systems.