Researcher profile

Javier Roulet

Javier Roulet contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

6 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Discovery of Interpretable Surrogates via Agentic AI: Application to Gravitational Waves

Fast surrogate models for expensive simulations are now essential across the sciences, yet they typically operate as black boxes. We present \texttt{GWAgent}, a large language model (LLM)-based workflow that constructs interpretable analytic surrogates directly from simulation data. Surrogate modeling is well suited to agentic workflows because candidate models can be quantitatively validated against ground-truth simulations at each iteration. As a demonstration, we build a surrogate for gravitational waveforms from eccentric binary black hole mergers. We show that providing the agent with a physics-informed domain ansatz substantially improves output model accuracy. The resulting analytic surrogate attains a median Advanced LIGO mismatch of $6.9\times10^{-4}$ together with an $\sim 8.4\times$ speedup in waveform evaluation, surpassing both symbolic regression and conventional machine learning baselines. Beyond producing an accurate model, the workflow identifies compact physical structure from the learned representation. As an astrophysical application, we use \texttt{GWAgent} to analyze the eccentricity of GW200129 and infer $e_{20\mathrm{Hz}}=0.099^{+0.063}_{-0.044}$. These results show that validation-constrained agentic workflows can produce accurate, fast, and interpretable surrogates for scientific simulations and inference.

preprint2023arXiv

Mapping the Likelihood of GW190521 with Diverse Mass and Spin Priors

We map the likelihood of GW190521, the heaviest detected binary black hole (BBH) merger, by sampling under different mass and spin priors designed to be uninformative. We find that a source-frame total mass of $\sim$$150 M_{\odot}$ is consistently supported, but posteriors in mass ratio and spin depend critically on the choice of priors. We confirm that the likelihood has a multi-modal structure with peaks in regions of mass ratio representing very different astrophysical scenarios. The unequal-mass region ($m_2 / m_1 < 0.3$) has an average likelihood $\sim$$e^6$ times larger than the equal-mass region and a maximum likelihood $\sim$$e^2$ larger. Using ensembles of samples across priors, we examine the implications of qualitatively different BBH sources that fit the data. We find that the equal-mass solution has poorly constrained spins and at least one black hole mass that is difficult to form via stellar collapse due to (pulsational) pair instability. The unequal-mass solution can avoid this mass gap entirely but requires a negative effective spin and a precessing primary. Both of these scenarios are more easily produced by dynamical formation channels than field binary co-evolution. Drawing representative samples from each region of the likelihood map, we find a sensitive comoving volume-time $\mathcal{O}(10)$ times larger in the mass gap region than the gap-avoiding region. Accounting for this distance effect, the likelihood still reverses the advantage to favor the gap-avoiding scenario by a factor of $\mathcal{O}(100)$ before including mass and spin priors. Posterior samplers can be driven away from this high-likelihood region by common prior choices meant to be uninformative, making GW190521 parameter inference sensitive to the choice of mass and spin priors. This may be a generic issue for similarly heavy events given current detector sensitivity and waveform degeneracies.

preprint2023arXiv

New binary black hole mergers in the LIGO--Virgo O3a data

We report the detection of ten new binary black hole (BBH) mergers in the publicly released data from the the first half of the third observing run (O3a) of advanced LIGO and advanced Virgo. We identify candidates using an updated version of the IAS search pipeline and compile a catalog of signals that pass a significance threshold of astrophysical probability greater than 0.5 (following the GWTC-2.1 and 3-OGC catalogs). The updated IAS pipeline is sensitive to a larger region of parameter space, applies a template prior that accounts for different search volume as a function of intrinsic parameters, and uses an improved coherent detection statistic that optimally combines the data from the Hanford and Livingston detectors. Among the ten new events, we observe interesting astrophysical scenarios including sources with confidently large effective spin parameters in both the positive and negative directions, high-mass black holes that are difficult to form in stellar collapse models due to (pulsational) pair instability, and low-mass mergers that bridge the gap between neutron stars and the lightest observed black holes. We infer source parameters in the upper and lower black hole mass gaps with both extreme and near-unity mass ratios, and one of the possible neutron star--black hole mergers is well localized for electromagnetic counterpart searches. We detect all of the GWTC-2.1 BBH mergers with coincident data in Hanford and Livingston except for three loud events that get vetoed, which is compatible with the false-positive rate of our veto procedure, and three that fall below the detection threshold. We also return to significance the event GW190909_114149, which was reduced to a sub-threshold trigger after its initial appearance in GWTC-2. This amounts to a total of 42 BBH mergers detected by our pipeline&#39;s search of the coincident Hanford--Livingston O3a data.

preprint2022arXiv

Signs of Higher Multipoles and Orbital Precession in GW151226

We present a reanalysis of GW151226, the second binary black hole merger discovered by the LIGO--Virgo Collaboration. Previous analysis showed that the best-fit waveform for this event corresponded to the merger of a $\sim 14 \, M_\odot$ black hole with a $\sim 7.5 \, M_\odot$ companion, and the posterior distribution in mass ratio ($q \leq 1$) is rather flat. In this work, we perform parameter estimation using a waveform model that includes the effects of orbital precession and higher-order radiative multipole modes, and we find that the source parameters of GW151226 shift towards the low $q$ and high effective spin ($χ_{\rm eff}$) region and that $q$ is better measured. The new solution has a log likelihood roughly two points higher than when either higher multipoles or orbital precession is neglected and can alter the astrophysical interpretation of GW151226. Additionally, we find it useful to use a flat-in-$χ{\rm eff}$ prior, which does not penalize the large $|χ_{\rm eff}|$ region, in order to uncover the higher likelihood region for GW151226. Our solution has several interesting properties: (a) the secondary black hole mass is close to the upper limit of the hypothesized lower mass gap of astrophysical black hole population; and (b) orbital precession is driven by the primary black hole spin, which has a dimensionless magnitude as large as $\sim 0.85$ and is tilted away from the orbital angular momentum at an angle of $\sim 57^\circ$. Since GW151226 is a relatively weak signal, an unambiguous claim of the detection of these effects in the signal cannot be made.

preprint2020arXiv

New binary black hole mergers in the second observing run of Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo

We report the detection of new binary black hole merger events in the publicly available data from the second observing run of advanced LIGO and advanced Virgo (O2). The mergers were discovered using the new search pipeline described in Venumadhav et al. [Phys. Rev. D 100, 023011 (2019)], and are above the detection thresholds as defined in Abbott et al. (LIGO Scientific and Virgo Collaborations) [Phys. Rev. X 9, 031040 (2019).] Three of the mergers (GW170121, GW170304, GW170727) have inferred probabilities of being of astrophysical origin $p_{\rm astro} > 0.98$. The remaining three (GW170425, GW170202, GW170403) are less certain, with $p_{\rm astro}$ ranging from 0.5 to 0.8. The newly found mergers largely share the statistical properties of previously reported events, with the exception of GW170403, the least secure event, which has a highly negative effective spin parameter $χ_{\rm eff}$ . The most secure new event, GW170121 ($p_{\rm astro} > 0.99$), is also notable due to its inferred negative value of $χ_{\rm eff}$, which is inconsistent with being positive at the ~95.8% confidence level. The new mergers nearly double the sample of gravitational wave events reported from O2, and present a substantial opportunity to explore the statistics of the binary black hole population in the Universe. The number of detected events is not surprising since we estimate that the detection volume of our pipeline may be larger than that of other pipelines by as much as a factor of two (with significant uncertainties in the estimate). The increase in volume is larger when the constituent detectors of the network have very different sensitivities, as is likely to be the case in current and future runs.

preprint2020arXiv

Search for Lensed Gravitational Waves Including Morse Phase Information: An Intriguing Candidate in O2

We search for strongly lensed and multiply imaged gravitational wave signals in the second observing run of Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo (O2). We exploit a new source of information, the so-called Morse phase, which further mitigates the search background and constrains viable lenses. The best candidate we find is consistent with a strongly lensed signal from a massive binary black hole (BBH) merger, with three detected images consisting of the previously catalogued events GW170104 and GW170814, and a subthreshold trigger, GWC170620. Given the number of BBH events detected so far, we estimate an overall false alarm probability $\sim 10^{-4}$ for the observed high degree of parameter coincidence between the three events. On the flip side, we measure the Morse phase differences which suggest a complex and atypical lens system, with at least five images including a magnified image at a local maximum of the Fermat potential. The low prior probability for multiple lensed images and the amount of fine tuning required in the lens model reduce the credibility of the lensing hypothesis. The long time delays between lensed images point toward a galaxy cluster lens with an internal velocity dispersion $σ\sim 650\,{\rm km/s}$, and the observed strain amplitudes imply a likely range $0.4 < z \lesssim 0.7$ for the source redshift. We provide an error ellipse of $\sim 16\,{\rm deg}^2$ for the sky location of the source together with additional specific constraints on the lens-host system, and encourage follow-up efforts to confirm or rule out any viable lens. If this is indeed a lensed event, successfully pinpointing the system would offer a unique opportunity to identify the host galaxy of a BBH merger, and even localize the source within it.