Researcher profile

Ian Osband

Ian Osband contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate

Machine Learning Artificial Intelligence math.OC

Trust snapshot

Quick read

Trust 21 - EmergingVerification L1Unclaimed author

9works

0followers

3topics

4close collaborators

Actions

Decide how to stay connected

Follow researcher0

Claiming links this public author record to a researcher profile and unlocks direct collaboration workflows.

Direct collaboration

Open a focused conversation when the fit is right

Claim this author entity first to unlock direct invitations.

Inspect adjacent work, topics, institutions and collaborators without jumping out to a separate graph page.

Building this graph slice

BZPEER is loading the nearby papers, people, topics and institutions for this page.

preprint2026arXiv

Delightful Exploration

Most exploration algorithms search broadly until uncertainty is resolved. When the action space is too large to resolve within budget, practitioners default to $\varepsilon$-greedy, which bounds disruption but spends its override blindly. We introduce \textit{Delight-gated exploration} (DE), a host--override rule that spends exploratory actions only when their prospective delight (expected improvement times surprisal) exceeds a gate price. This practical heuristic recovers a classical result: Pandora's reservation-value rule for costly search, with surprisal setting the effective inspection cost. Resolved arms exit the gate, fresh arms shut off above a prior-determined threshold, and selected linear-bandit overrides consume finite information budget. Across Bernoulli bandits, linear bandits, and tabular MDPs, the same hyperparameters transfer without retuning, and DE shows much weaker regret growth than Thompson Sampling and $\varepsilon$-greedy in the tested unresolved regimes. Delight improves acting for the same reason it improves learning: it prices scarce resources by the product of upside and surprisal.

preprint2026arXiv

Delightful Gradients Accelerate Corner Escape

Softmax policy gradient converges at $O(1/t)$, but its transient behavior near sub-optimal corners of the simplex can be exponentially slow. The bottleneck is self-trapping: negative-advantage actions reinforce the corner policy and can initially push the optimal action backward. We study \emph{Delightful Policy Gradient} (DG), which gates each policy-gradient term by the product of advantage and action surprisal. For $K$-armed bandits, we prove that the zero-temperature limit of DG removes this corner-trapping mechanism on a quantitative sector near any sub-optimal corner, yielding a first-exit escape bound logarithmic in the initial probability ratio. At every fixed temperature, the same local mechanism persists because harmful actions are polynomially suppressed as they become rare. A key structural insight is that every action better than the corner action is an \emph{ally}: its contribution to escape is non-negative. Combining corner instability with a monotonic value improvement identity, we prove that DG converges globally to the optimal policy in both bandits and tabular MDPs at an asymptotic $O(1/t)$ rate. We also show, via an exact counterexample, that this tabular mechanism can fail under shared function approximation. In MNIST contextual bandits with a shared-parameter neural network, DG nevertheless recovers from bad initializations faster than standard policy gradient, suggesting that the counterexample marks a boundary of the theory rather than a practical prohibition.

preprint2022arXiv

Ensembles for Uncertainty Estimation: Benefits of Prior Functions and Bootstrapping

In machine learning, an agent needs to estimate uncertainty to efficiently explore and adapt and to make effective decisions. A common approach to uncertainty estimation maintains an ensemble of models. In recent years, several approaches have been proposed for training ensembles, and conflicting views prevail with regards to the importance of various ingredients of these approaches. In this paper, we aim to address the benefits of two ingredients -- prior functions and bootstrapping -- which have come into question. We show that prior functions can significantly improve an ensemble agent's joint predictions across inputs and that bootstrapping affords additional benefits if the signal-to-noise ratio varies across inputs. Our claims are justified by both theoretical and experimental results.

preprint2022arXiv

Evaluating High-Order Predictive Distributions in Deep Learning

Most work on supervised learning research has focused on marginal predictions. In decision problems, joint predictive distributions are essential for good performance. Previous work has developed methods for assessing low-order predictive distributions with inputs sampled i.i.d. from the testing distribution. With low-dimensional inputs, these methods distinguish agents that effectively estimate uncertainty from those that do not. We establish that the predictive distribution order required for such differentiation increases greatly with input dimension, rendering these methods impractical. To accommodate high-dimensional inputs, we introduce \textit{dyadic sampling}, which focuses on predictive distributions associated with random \textit{pairs} of inputs. We demonstrate that this approach efficiently distinguishes agents in high-dimensional examples involving simple logistic regression as well as complex synthetic and empirical data.

preprint2022arXiv

From Predictions to Decisions: The Importance of Joint Predictive Distributions

A fundamental challenge for any intelligent system is prediction: given some inputs, can you predict corresponding outcomes? Most work on supervised learning has focused on producing accurate marginal predictions for each input. However, we show that for a broad class of decision problems, accurate joint predictions are required to deliver good performance. In particular, we establish several results pertaining to combinatorial decision problems, sequential predictions, and multi-armed bandits to elucidate the essential role of joint predictive distributions. Our treatment of multi-armed bandits introduces an approximate Thompson sampling algorithm and analytic techniques that lead to a new kind of regret bound.

preprint2022arXiv

Robustness of Epinets against Distributional Shifts

Recent work introduced the epinet as a new approach to uncertainty modeling in deep learning. An epinet is a small neural network added to traditional neural networks, which, together, can produce predictive distributions. In particular, using an epinet can greatly improve the quality of joint predictions across multiple inputs, a measure of how well a neural network knows what it does not know. In this paper, we examine whether epinets can offer similar advantages under distributional shifts. We find that, across ImageNet-A/O/C, epinets generally improve robustness metrics. Moreover, these improvements are more significant than those afforded by even very large ensembles at orders of magnitude lower computational costs. However, these improvements are relatively small compared to the outstanding issues in distributionally-robust deep learning. Epinets may be a useful tool in the toolbox, but they are far from the complete solution.

preprint2020arXiv

A Tutorial on Thompson Sampling

Thompson sampling is an algorithm for online decision problems where actions are taken sequentially in a manner that must balance between exploiting what is known to maximize immediate performance and investing to accumulate new information that may improve future performance. The algorithm addresses a broad range of problems in a computationally efficient manner and is therefore enjoying wide use. This tutorial covers the algorithm and its application, illustrating concepts through a range of examples, including Bernoulli bandit problems, shortest path problems, product recommendation, assortment, active learning with neural networks, and reinforcement learning in Markov decision processes. Most of these problems involve complex information structures, where information revealed by taking an action informs beliefs about other actions. We will also discuss when and why Thompson sampling is or is not effective and relations to alternative algorithms.

preprint2020arXiv

Behaviour Suite for Reinforcement Learning

This paper introduces the Behaviour Suite for Reinforcement Learning, or bsuite for short. bsuite is a collection of carefully-designed experiments that investigate core capabilities of reinforcement learning (RL) agents with two objectives. First, to collect clear, informative and scalable problems that capture key issues in the design of general and efficient learning algorithms. Second, to study agent behaviour through their performance on these shared benchmarks. To complement this effort, we open source github.com/deepmind/bsuite, which automates evaluation and analysis of any agent on bsuite. This library facilitates reproducible and accessible research on the core issues in RL, and ultimately the design of superior learning algorithms. Our code is Python, and easy to use within existing projects. We include examples with OpenAI Baselines, Dopamine as well as new reference implementations. Going forward, we hope to incorporate more excellent experiments from the research community, and commit to a periodic review of bsuite from a committee of prominent researchers.

preprint2020arXiv

Hypermodels for Exploration

We study the use of hypermodels to represent epistemic uncertainty and guide exploration. This generalizes and extends the use of ensembles to approximate Thompson sampling. The computational cost of training an ensemble grows with its size, and as such, prior work has typically been limited to ensembles with tens of elements. We show that alternative hypermodels can enjoy dramatic efficiency gains, enabling behavior that would otherwise require hundreds or thousands of elements, and even succeed in situations where ensemble methods fail to learn regardless of size. This allows more accurate approximation of Thompson sampling as well as use of more sophisticated exploration schemes. In particular, we consider an approximate form of information-directed sampling and demonstrate performance gains relative to Thompson sampling. As alternatives to ensembles, we consider linear and neural network hypermodels, also known as hypernetworks. We prove that, with neural network base models, a linear hypermodel can represent essentially any distribution over functions, and as such, hypernetworks are no more expressive.

Institution

Affiliation not imported yet

This author record came from a source that does not expose affiliation metadata. Once the author claims the profile or we enrich the record from another provider, this section will link to the concrete institution.

Topic footprint