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Hsin-Hsiung Huang

Hsin-Hsiung Huang contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

5 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Evaluating TabPFN for Mild Cognitive Impairment to Alzheimer's Disease Conversion in Data Limited Settings

Accurate prediction of conversion from Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) to Alzheimers Diseases (AD) is essential for early intervention, however, developing reliable conversion predictive models is difficult to develop due to limited longitudinal data availability We evaluate TabPFN (Tabular Pre-Trained Foundation Network) against traditional machine learning methods for predicting 3 year MCI to AD conversion using the TADPOLE dataset derived from ADNI. Using multimodal biomarker features extracted from demographics, APOE4, MRI volumes, CSF markers, and PET imaging, we conducted an experimental comparison across varying training set sizes (N=50 to 1000) and models including XGBoost, Random Forest, LightGBM, and Logistic Regression. TabPFN achieved one the highest performance (AUC=0.892), outperforming LightGBM (AUC=0.860) and demonstrating advantages in low data settings. At N=50 training samples, TabPFN maintained strong AUC while the traditional machine learning models struggles at small training samples. These findings demonstrate that foundation models are promising for disease prediction in data limited scenarios, such as Alzheimers diseases.

preprint2026arXiv

Toward Personalized Digital Twins for Cognitive Decline Assessment: A Multimodal, Uncertainty-Aware Framework

Cognitive decline is highly heterogeneous across individuals, which complicates prognosis, trial design, and treatment planning. We present the Personalized Cognitive Decline Assessment Digital Twin (PCD-DT), a multimodal and uncertainty-aware framework for modeling patient-specific disease trajectories from sparse, noisy, and irregular longitudinal data. The framework combines three methodological components: (1) latent state-space models for individualized temporal dynamics, (2) multimodal fusion for clinical, biomarker, and imaging features, and (3) uncertainty-aware validation and adaptive updating for robust digital twin operation. We also outline how conditional generative models can support data augmentation and stress testing for underrepresented progression patterns. As a preliminary feasibility study, we analyze longitudinal TADPOLE trajectories and show clear separation between cognitively normal and Alzheimer's disease cohorts in ADAS13, ventricle volume, and hippocampal volume over five years. We further conduct a multimodal next-visit prediction ablation using an LSTM sequence model on 3{,}003 visit-pair sequences derived from TADPOLE, where the combined cognitive plus MRI configuration achieves the lowest standardized RMSE for both ADAS13 (0.4419) and ventricle volume (0.5842), outperforming a Last Observation Carried Forward baseline. A Bayesian tensor modeling component for high-dimensional imaging fusion is also discussed. These results support the feasibility of the proposed architecture while also highlighting the need for stronger uncertainty calibration and longer-horizon predictive evaluation. The PCD-DT framework provides a principled starting point for personalized in silico modeling in neurodegenerative disease. This work positions PCD-DT as a foundational step toward clinically deployable, uncertainty-aware digital twin systems.

preprint2022arXiv

Robust Regularized Low-Rank Matrix Models for Regression and Classification

While matrix variate regression models have been studied in many existing works, classical statistical and computational methods for the analysis of the regression coefficient estimation are highly affected by high dimensional and noisy matrix-valued predictors. To address these issues, this paper proposes a framework of matrix variate regression models based on a rank constraint, vector regularization (e.g., sparsity), and a general loss function with three special cases considered: ordinary matrix regression, robust matrix regression, and matrix logistic regression. We also propose an alternating projected gradient descent algorithm. Based on analyzing our objective functions on manifolds with bounded curvature, we show that the algorithm is guaranteed to converge, all accumulation points of the iterates have estimation errors in the order of $O(1/\sqrt{n})$ asymptotically and substantially attaining the minimax rate. Our theoretical analysis can be applied to general optimization problems on manifolds with bounded curvature and can be considered an important technical contribution to this work. We validate the proposed method through simulation studies and real image data examples.

preprint2020arXiv

The Unsupervised Method of Vessel Movement Trajectory Prediction

In real-world application scenarios, it is crucial for marine navigators and security analysts to predict vessel movement trajectories at sea based on the Automated Identification System (AIS) data in a given time span. This article presents an unsupervised method of ship movement trajectory prediction which represents the data in a three-dimensional space which consists of time difference between points, the scaled error distance between the tested and its predicted forward and backward locations, and the space-time angle. The representation feature space reduces the search scope for the next point to a collection of candidates which fit the local path prediction well, and therefore improve the accuracy. Unlike most statistical learning or deep learning methods, the proposed clustering-based trajectory reconstruction method does not require computationally expensive model training. This makes real-time reliable and accurate prediction feasible without using a training set. Our results show that the most prediction trajectories accurately consist of the true vessel paths.

preprint2019arXiv

Photon allocation strategy in region-of-interest tomographic imaging

Photon counting detection is a promising approach toward effectively reducing the radiation dose in x-ray computed tomography (CT). Full CT reconstruction from a fraction of the detected photons required by scintillation-based detectors has been demonstrated. Current efforts in photon-counting CT have focused mainly on reconstruction techniques. In medical and industrial x-ray computed tomography (CT) applications, truncated projection from the region-of-interest (ROI) is another effective way of dose reduction, as information from the ROI is usually sufficient for diagnostic purpose. Projection truncation poses an ill-conditioned inverse problem, which can be improved by including projections from the exterior region. However, this trade-off between the interior reconstruction quality and the additional exterior measurement (extra dose) has not been studied. In this manuscript, we explore the number of detected x-ray photons as a new dimension for measurement engineering. Specifically, we design a flexible, photon-efficient measurement strategy for ROI reconstruction by incorporating the photon statistics at extremely low flux level (~10 photons per pixel). The optimized photon-allocation strategy shows 10 ~ 15-fold lower ROI reconstruction error than truncated projections, and 2-fold lower than whole-volume CT scan. Our analysis in few-photon interior tomography could serve as a new framework for dose-efficient, task-specific x-ray image acquisition design.