Researcher profile

Fredrik Gustafsson

Fredrik Gustafsson contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

4 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Multi-Object Tracking Consistently Improves Wildlife Inference

Camera traps have become a common tool for wildlife monitoring efforts in ecological research and biodiversity conservation. Wildlife classification models have benefited from the increase in wildlife visual data. These models reach high levels of accuracy on curated, high-quality datasets. However, their performance remains sensitive to real-world environmental constraints. They often produce inconsistent predictions when performing inference on temporally coherent sequences. The predicted label for a single individual shifts rapidly between frames. This study exploits the temporal nature of camera-trap data to augment inferred predictions from a wildlife classification model. Specifically, we adopt several standard Multi-Object Tracking (MOT) models to link detections across consecutive frames. The curated trajectories are used to fuse the softmax class probabilities. The fused probability score produces a single consensus class label estimate that overrides misclassifications caused by noise. The analysis of the experimental results shows that our proposed strategy improves over a standalone classifier over all datasets and for each metric. Specifically, the best-performing MOT models gain a weighted F1-Score of 5.1%, 3.1% and 2.0% over the classifier across three MOT datasets.

preprint2019arXiv

Bayesian Cooperative Localization Using Received Signal Strength With Unknown Path Loss Exponent: Message Passing Approaches

We propose a Bayesian framework for the received-signal-strength-based cooperative localization problem with unknown path loss exponent. Our purpose is to infer the marginal posterior of each unknown parameter: the position or the path loss exponent. This probabilistic inference problem is solved using message passing algorithms that update messages and beliefs iteratively. To enable the numerical tractability, we combine the variable discretization and Monte-Carlo-based numerical approximation schemes. To further improve computational efficiency, we develop an auxiliary importance sampler that updates the beliefs with the help of an auxiliary variable. To sample from a normalized likelihood function, which is an important ingredient of the proposed auxiliary importance sampler, we develop a stochastic sampling strategy that mathematically interprets and corrects an existing heuristic strategy. The proposed message passing algorithms are analyzed systematically in terms of computational complexity, demonstrating the computational efficiency of the proposed auxiliary importance sampler. Various simulations are conducted to validate the overall good performance of the proposed algorithms.

preprint2019arXiv

Exploring Positive Noise in Estimation Theory

Estimation of a deterministic quantity observed in non-Gaussian additive noise is explored via order statistics approach. More specifically, we study the estimation problem when measurement noises either have positive supports or follow a mixture of normal and uniform distribution. This is a problem of great interest specially in cellular positioning systems where the wireless signal is prone to multiple sources of noises which generally have a positive support. Multiple noise distributions are investigated and, if possible, minimum variance unbiased (MVU) estimators are derived. In case of uniform, exponential and Rayleigh noise distributions, unbiased estimators without any knowledge of the hyper parameters of the noise distributions are also given. For each noise distribution, the proposed order statistic-based estimator's performance, in terms of mean squared error, is compared to the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE), as a function of sample size, in a simulation study.

preprint2013arXiv

Recursive maximum likelihood identification of jump Markov nonlinear systems

In this contribution, we present an online method for joint state and parameter estimation in jump Markov non-linear systems (JMNLS). State inference is enabled via the use of particle filters which makes the method applicable to a wide range of non-linear models. To exploit the inherent structure of JMNLS, we design a Rao-Blackwellized particle filter (RBPF) where the discrete mode is marginalized out analytically. This results in an efficient implementation of the algorithm and reduces the estimation error variance. The proposed RBPF is then used to compute, recursively in time, smoothed estimates of complete data sufficient statistics. Together with the online expectation maximization algorithm, this enables recursive identification of unknown model parameters. The performance of the method is illustrated in simulations and on a localization problem in wireless networks using real data.