Researcher profile

Erlend Aune

Erlend Aune contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

5 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Context-Aware Graph Attention for Unsupervised Telco Anomaly Detection

We propose C-MTAD-GAT, an \emph{unsupervised}, \emph{context-aware} graph-attention model for anomaly detection in multivariate time series from mobile networks. C-MTAD-GAT combines graph attention with lightweight context embeddings, and uses a deterministic reconstruction head and multi-step forecaster to produce anomaly scores. Detection thresholds are calibrated \emph{without labels} from validation residuals, keeping the pipeline fully unsupervised. On the public TELCO dataset, C-MTAD-GAT consistently outperforms MTAD-GAT and the Telco-specific DC-VAE, two state-of-the-art baselines, in both event-level and pointwise F1, while triggering substantially fewer alarms. C-MTAD-GAT is also deployed in the Core network of a national mobile operator, demonstrating its resilience in real industrial settings.

preprint2026arXiv

Scalable Context-Aware Graph Attention for Unsupervised Anomaly Detection in Large-Scale Mobile Networks

Mobile network operators must monitor thousands of heterogeneous network elements across the radio access network and the packet core, each exposing high-dimensional KPI time series. The scale and cost of incident labelling make supervised approaches impractical, motivating unsupervised anomaly detection robust to context shifts and nonstationarity. We propose \textbf{C-MTAD-GAT} (\emph{Context-aware Multivariate Time-series Anomaly Detection with Graph Attention}), an anomaly detection framework designed to operate as a single shared model across large populations of network elements. The model combines temporal and feature-wise graph attention with lightweight static and dynamic context conditioning and a dual-head decoder for reconstruction and multi-step forecasting. It produces per-element, per-feature anomaly scores, converted to alerts via fully unsupervised thresholds calibrated from validation residuals. On the TELCO dataset released with DC-VAE \cite{garcia2023onemodel}, C-MTAD-GAT improves event-level affiliation and pointwise F1 while generating fewer alarms than prior graph-attention and VAE-based baselines. We then apply the same system to nation-scale radio access and evolved packet core control-plane counter data from a mobile network operator, where it is deployed. Operator feedback indicates the alerts are actionable and support daily monitoring, showing scalability across domains without relying on labelled incidents.

preprint2022arXiv

Persistence Initialization: A novel adaptation of the Transformer architecture for Time Series Forecasting

Time series forecasting is an important problem, with many real world applications. Ensembles of deep neural networks have recently achieved impressive forecasting accuracy, but such large ensembles are impractical in many real world settings. Transformer models been successfully applied to a diverse set of challenging problems. We propose a novel adaptation of the original Transformer architecture focusing on the task of time series forecasting, called Persistence Initialization. The model is initialized as a naive persistence model by using a multiplicative gating mechanism combined with a residual skip connection. We use a decoder Transformer with ReZero normalization and Rotary positional encodings, but the adaptation is applicable to any auto-regressive neural network model. We evaluate our proposed architecture on the challenging M4 dataset, achieving competitive performance compared to ensemble based methods. We also compare against existing recently proposed Transformer models for time series forecasting, showing superior performance on the M4 dataset. Extensive ablation studies show that Persistence Initialization leads to better performance and faster convergence. As the size of the model increases, only the models with our proposed adaptation gain in performance. We also perform an additional ablation study to determine the importance of the choice of normalization and positional encoding, and find both the use of Rotary encodings and ReZero normalization to be essential for good forecasting performance.

preprint2012arXiv

The use of systems of stochastic PDEs as priors for multivariate models with discrete structures

A challenge in multivariate problems with discrete structures is the inclusion of prior information that may differ in each separate structure. A particular example of this is seismic amplitude versus angle (AVA) inversion to elastic parameters, where the discrete structures are geologic layers. Recently, the use of systems of linear stocastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) have become a popular tool for specifying priors in latent Gaussian models. This approach allows for flexible incorporation of nonstationarity and anisotropy in the prior model. Another advantage is that the prior field is Markovian and therefore the precision matrix is very sparse, introducing huge computational and memory benefits. We present a novel approach for parametrising correlations that differ in the different discrete structures, and additionally a geodesic blending approach for quantifying fuzziness of interfaces between the structures. Keywords: Gaussian distribution, multivariate, stochastic PDEs, discrete structures

preprint2011arXiv

Parameter estimation in high dimensional Gaussian distributions

In order to compute the log-likelihood for high dimensional spatial Gaussian models, it is necessary to compute the determinant of the large, sparse, symmetric positive definite precision matrix, Q. Traditional methods for evaluating the log-likelihood for very large models may fail due to the massive memory requirements. We present a novel approach for evaluating such likelihoods when the matrix-vector product, Qv, is fast to compute. In this approach we utilise matrix functions, Krylov subspaces, and probing vectors to construct an iterative method for computing the log-likelihood.