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Researcher profile

Colin Bellinger

Colin Bellinger contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate
Artificial IntelligenceMachine Learningmath.OC

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Published work

6 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Correcting Performance Estimation Bias in Imbalanced Classification with Minority Subconcepts

Class-level evaluation can conceal substantial performance disparities across subconcepts within the same class, causing models that perform well on average to fail on specific subpopulations. Prior work has shown that common evaluation measures for imbalanced classification are biased toward larger minority subconcepts and that utility-based reweighting using true subconcept labels can mitigate this bias; however, such labels are rarely available at test time. We introduce a practical utility-weighted evaluation that replaces unavailable subconcept labels with predicted posterior probabilities from a multiclass subconcept model. Evaluation weights are defined as the expected utility under this posterior, yielding a soft, uncertainty-aware metric we call predicted-weighted balanced accuracy (pBA). Experiments on tabular benchmarks as well as medical-imaging and text datasets show that unweighted scores can be misleading under within-class heterogeneity, while pBA provides more stable and interpretable assessments when subconcept distributions are uneven but not pathological. Our code is available at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/correcting-bias-imbalance-9C6C/.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Automated Imbalanced Classification via Layered Learning

In this paper we address imbalanced binary classification (IBC) tasks. Applying resampling strategies to balance the class distribution of training instances is a common approach to tackle these problems. Many state-of-the-art methods find instances of interest close to the decision boundary to drive the resampling process. However, under-sampling the majority class may potentially lead to important information loss. Over-sampling also may increase the chance of overfitting by propagating the information contained in instances from the minority class. The main contribution of our work is a new method called ICLL for tackling IBC tasks which is not based on resampling training observations. Instead, ICLL follows a layered learning paradigm to model the data in two stages. In the first layer, ICLL learns to distinguish cases close to the decision boundary from cases which are clearly from the majority class, where this dichotomy is defined using a hierarchical clustering analysis. In the subsequent layer, we use instances close to the decision boundary and instances from the minority class to solve the original predictive task. A second contribution of our work is the automatic definition of the layers which comprise the layered learning strategy using a hierarchical clustering model. This is a relevant discovery as this process is usually performed manually according to domain knowledge. We carried out extensive experiments using 100 benchmark data sets. The results show that the proposed method leads to a better performance relatively to several state-of-the-art methods for IBC.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Dynamic programming with incomplete information to overcome navigational uncertainty in a nautical environment

Using a novel toy nautical navigation environment, we show that dynamic programming can be used when only incomplete information about a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP) is known. By incorporating uncertainty into our model, we show that navigation policies can be constructed that maintain safety, outperforming the baseline performance of traditional dynamic programming for Markov decision processes (MDPs). Adding in controlled sensing methods, we show that these policies can also lower measurement costs at the same time.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Scientific Discovery and the Cost of Measurement -- Balancing Information and Cost in Reinforcement Learning

The use of reinforcement learning (RL) in scientific applications, such as materials design and automated chemistry, is increasing. A major challenge, however, lies in fact that measuring the state of the system is often costly and time consuming in scientific applications, whereas policy learning with RL requires a measurement after each time step. In this work, we make the measurement costs explicit in the form of a costed reward and propose a framework that enables off-the-shelf deep RL algorithms to learn a policy for both selecting actions and determining whether or not to measure the current state of the system at each time step. In this way, the agents learn to balance the need for information with the cost of information. Our results show that when trained under this regime, the Dueling DQN and PPO agents can learn optimal action policies whilst making up to 50\% fewer state measurements, and recurrent neural networks can produce a greater than 50\% reduction in measurements. We postulate the these reduction can help to lower the barrier to applying RL to real-world scientific applications.

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preprint2020arXiv

Active Measure Reinforcement Learning for Observation Cost Minimization

Standard reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms assume that the observation of the next state comes instantaneously and at no cost. In a wide variety of sequential decision making tasks ranging from medical treatment to scientific discovery, however, multiple classes of state observations are possible, each of which has an associated cost. We propose the active measure RL framework (Amrl) as an initial solution to this problem where the agent learns to maximize the costed return, which we define as the discounted sum of rewards minus the sum of observation costs. Our empirical evaluation demonstrates that Amrl-Q agents are able to learn a policy and state estimator in parallel during online training. During training the agent naturally shifts from its reliance on costly measurements of the environment to its state estimator in order to increase its reward. It does this without harm to the learned policy. Our results show that the Amrl-Q agent learns at a rate similar to standard Q-learning and Dyna-Q. Critically, by utilizing an active strategy, Amrl-Q achieves a higher costed return.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Reinforcement Learning in a Physics-Inspired Semi-Markov Environment

Reinforcement learning (RL) has been demonstrated to have great potential in many applications of scientific discovery and design. Recent work includes, for example, the design of new structures and compositions of molecules for therapeutic drugs. Much of the existing work related to the application of RL to scientific domains, however, assumes that the available state representation obeys the Markov property. For reasons associated with time, cost, sensor accuracy, and gaps in scientific knowledge, many scientific design and discovery problems do not satisfy the Markov property. Thus, something other than a Markov decision process (MDP) should be used to plan / find the optimal policy. In this paper, we present a physics-inspired semi-Markov RL environment, namely the phase change environment. In addition, we evaluate the performance of value-based RL algorithms for both MDPs and partially observable MDPs (POMDPs) on the proposed environment. Our results demonstrate deep recurrent Q-networks (DRQN) significantly outperform deep Q-networks (DQN), and that DRQNs benefit from training with hindsight experience replay. Implications for the use of semi-Markovian RL and POMDPs for scientific laboratories are also discussed.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access