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Alvaro A. Cardenas

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math.OC eess.SY Machine Learning Systems and Control

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preprint2026arXiv

Stable GFlowNets with Probabilistic Guarantees

Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets) learn to sample states proportional to an unnormalized reward. Despite their theoretical promise, practical training is often unstable, exhibiting severe loss spikes and mode collapse. To tackle this, we first assess the sensitivity of GFlowNet objectives, demonstrating that a small Total Variation (TV) distance between the learned and target distributions does not preclude unbounded training loss. Motivated by this mismatch, we establish converse guarantees by deriving loss-to-TV bounds that certify global fidelity from bounded trajectory balance losses. Lastly, we propose Stable GFlowNets, an algorithm that leverages our theoretical results to stabilize training, and empirically demonstrate improved training behavior and superior distributional fidelity.

preprint2021arXiv

Sampling based Computation of Viability Domain to Prevent Safety Violations by Attackers

This paper studies the security of cyber-physical systems under attacks. Our goal is to design system parameters, such as a set of initial conditions and input bounds so that it is secure by design. To this end, we propose new sufficient conditions to guarantee the safety of a system under adversarial actuator attacks. Using these conditions, we propose a computationally efficient sampling-based method to verify whether a set is a viability domain for a general class of nonlinear systems. In particular, we devise a method of checking a modified barrier function condition on a finite set of points to assess whether a set can be rendered forward invariant. Then, we propose an iterative algorithm to compute the set of initial conditions and input constraint set to limit what an adversary can do if it compromises the vulnerable inputs. Finally, we utilize a Quadratic Program approach for online control synthesis.

preprint2014arXiv

Privacy and Customer Segmentation in the Smart Grid

In the electricity grid, networked sensors which record and transmit increasingly high-granularity data are being deployed. In such a setting, privacy concerns are a natural consideration. We present an attack model for privacy breaches, and, using results from estimation theory, derive theoretical results ensuring that an adversary will fail to infer private information with a certain probability, independent of the algorithm used. We show utility companies would benefit from less noisy, higher frequency data, as it would improve various smart grid operations such as load prediction. We provide a method to quantify how smart grid operations improve as a function of higher frequency data. In order to obtain the consumer's valuation of privacy, we design a screening mechanism consisting of a menu of contracts to the energy consumer with varying guarantees of privacy. The screening process is a means to segment customers. Finally, we design insurance contracts using the probability of a privacy breach to be offered by third-party insurance companies.