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Alessandro Abate

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Published work

32 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Multi-Property Synthesis

We study LTLf synthesis with multiple properties, where satisfying all properties may be impossible. Instead of enumerating subsets of properties, we compute in one fixed-point computation the relation between product-game states and the goal sets that are realizable from them, and we synthesize strategies achieving maximal realizable sets. We develop a fully symbolic algorithm that introduces Boolean goal variables and exploits monotonicity to represent exponentially many goal combinations compactly. Our approach substantially outperforms enumeration-based baselines, with speedups of up to two orders of magnitude.

preprint2026arXiv

Robust Parameter Learning for Uncertain MDPs

Learning-based approaches to verifying unknown Markov decision processes (MDPs) often employ uncertain MDPs. These models use, for example, confidence intervals to capture transition uncertainty and allow synthesis of policies that are robust to this uncertainty. However, this approach typically quantifies uncertainty independently for individual transition probabilities, ignoring dependencies due to shared latent quantities. We propose to learn such models using parametric MDPs (pMDPs), where transition probabilities are expressions over a set of parameters. We project statistical uncertainty from empirical transition frequencies onto the pMDP's parameter space, yielding a probably approximately correct (PAC) uncertainty model for the underlying MDP that respects the algebraic dependencies between transitions. The resulting models are algorithmically challenging to solve, so we propose a hierarchy of sound polytopic outer approximations of the induced confidence set. We implement and evaluate our approach, demonstrating substantially tighter uncertainty estimates than classical interval-based uncertain MDP learning techniques.

preprint2023arXiv

Grid-Free Computation of Probabilistic Safety with Malliavin Calculus

This work concerns continuous-time, continuous-space stochastic dynamical systems described by stochastic differential equations (SDE). It presents a new approach to compute probabilistic safety regions, namely sets of initial conditions of the SDE associated to trajectories that are safe with a probability larger than a given threshold. The approach introduces a functional that is minimised at the border of the probabilistic safety region, then solves an optimisation problem using techniques from Malliavin Calculus, which computes such region. Unlike existing results in the literature, the new approach allows one to compute probabilistic safety regions without gridding the state space of the SDE.

preprint2022arXiv

Automated Verification and Synthesis of Stochastic Hybrid Systems: A Survey

Stochastic hybrid systems have received significant attentions as a relevant modelling framework describing many systems, from engineering to the life sciences: they enable the study of numerous applications, including transportation networks, biological systems and chemical reaction networks, smart energy and power grids, and beyond. Automated verification and policy synthesis for stochastic hybrid systems can be inherently challenging: this is due to the heterogeneity of their dynamics (presence of continuous and discrete components), the presence of uncertainty, and in some applications the large dimension of state and input sets. Over the past few years, a few hundred articles have investigated these models, and developed diverse and powerful approaches to mitigate difficulties encountered in the analysis and synthesis of such complex stochastic systems. In this survey, we overview the most recent results in the literature and discuss different approaches, including (in)finite abstractions, verification and synthesis for temporal logic specifications, stochastic similarity relations, (control) barrier certificates, compositional techniques, and a selection of results on continuous-time stochastic systems; we finally survey recently developed software tools that implement the discussed approaches. Throughout the manuscript we discuss a few open topics to be considered as potential future research directions: we hope that this survey will guide younger researchers through a comprehensive understanding of the various challenges, tools, and solutions in this enticing and rich scientific area.

preprint2022arXiv

Low Emission Building Control with Zero-Shot Reinforcement Learning

Heating and cooling systems in buildings account for 31\% of global energy use, much of which are regulated by Rule Based Controllers (RBCs) that neither maximise energy efficiency nor minimise emissions by interacting optimally with the grid. Control via Reinforcement Learning (RL) has been shown to significantly improve building energy efficiency, but existing solutions require access to building-specific simulators or data that cannot be expected for every building in the world. In response, we show it is possible to obtain emission-reducing policies without such knowledge a priori--a paradigm we call zero-shot building control. We combine ideas from system identification and model-based RL to create PEARL (Probabilistic Emission-Abating Reinforcement Learning) and show that a short period of active exploration is all that is required to build a performant model. In experiments across three varied building energy simulations, we show PEARL outperforms an existing RBC once, and popular RL baselines in all cases, reducing building emissions by as much as 31\% whilst maintaining thermal comfort. Our source code is available online via https://enjeeneer.io/projects/pearl .

preprint2022arXiv

Modular Deep Reinforcement Learning for Continuous Motion Planning with Temporal Logic

This paper investigates the motion planning of autonomous dynamical systems modeled by Markov decision processes (MDP) with unknown transition probabilities over continuous state and action spaces. Linear temporal logic (LTL) is used to specify high-level tasks over infinite horizon, which can be converted into a limit deterministic generalized Büchi automaton (LDGBA) with several accepting sets. The novelty is to design an embedded product MDP (EP-MDP) between the LDGBA and the MDP by incorporating a synchronous tracking-frontier function to record unvisited accepting sets of the automaton, and to facilitate the satisfaction of the accepting conditions. The proposed LDGBA-based reward shaping and discounting schemes for the model-free reinforcement learning (RL) only depend on the EP-MDP states and can overcome the issues of sparse rewards. Rigorous analysis shows that any RL method that optimizes the expected discounted return is guaranteed to find an optimal policy whose traces maximize the satisfaction probability. A modular deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG) is then developed to generate such policies over continuous state and action spaces. The performance of our framework is evaluated via an array of OpenAI gym environments.

preprint2021arXiv

DeepSynth: Automata Synthesis for Automatic Task Segmentation in Deep Reinforcement Learning

This paper proposes DeepSynth, a method for effective training of deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) agents when the reward is sparse and non-Markovian, but at the same time progress towards the reward requires achieving an unknown sequence of high-level objectives. Our method employs a novel algorithm for synthesis of compact automata to uncover this sequential structure automatically. We synthesise a human-interpretable automaton from trace data collected by exploring the environment. The state space of the environment is then enriched with the synthesised automaton so that the generation of a control policy by deep RL is guided by the discovered structure encoded in the automaton. The proposed approach is able to cope with both high-dimensional, low-level features and unknown sparse non-Markovian rewards. We have evaluated DeepSynth's performance in a set of experiments that includes the Atari game Montezuma's Revenge. Compared to existing approaches, we obtain a reduction of two orders of magnitude in the number of iterations required for policy synthesis, and also a significant improvement in scalability.

preprint2021arXiv

Equilibrium Refinements for Multi-Agent Influence Diagrams: Theory and Practice

Multi-agent influence diagrams (MAIDs) are a popular form of graphical model that, for certain classes of games, have been shown to offer key complexity and explainability advantages over traditional extensive form game (EFG) representations. In this paper, we extend previous work on MAIDs by introducing the concept of a MAID subgame, as well as subgame perfect and trembling hand perfect equilibrium refinements. We then prove several equivalence results between MAIDs and EFGs. Finally, we describe an open source implementation for reasoning about MAIDs and computing their equilibria.

preprint2021arXiv

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning with Temporal Logic Specifications

In this paper, we study the problem of learning to satisfy temporal logic specifications with a group of agents in an unknown environment, which may exhibit probabilistic behaviour. From a learning perspective these specifications provide a rich formal language with which to capture tasks or objectives, while from a logic and automated verification perspective the introduction of learning capabilities allows for practical applications in large, stochastic, unknown environments. The existing work in this area is, however, limited. Of the frameworks that consider full linear temporal logic or have correctness guarantees, all methods thus far consider only the case of a single temporal logic specification and a single agent. In order to overcome this limitation, we develop the first multi-agent reinforcement learning technique for temporal logic specifications, which is also novel in its ability to handle multiple specifications. We provide correctness and convergence guarantees for our main algorithm - ALMANAC (Automaton/Logic Multi-Agent Natural Actor-Critic) - even when using function approximation. Alongside our theoretical results, we further demonstrate the applicability of our technique via a set of preliminary experiments.

preprint2020arXiv

Automated and Sound Synthesis of Lyapunov Functions with SMT Solvers

In this paper we employ SMT solvers to soundly synthesise Lyapunov functions that assert the stability of a given dynamical model. The search for a Lyapunov function is framed as the satisfiability of a second-order logical formula, asking whether there exists a function satisfying a desired specification (stability) for all possible initial conditions of the model. We synthesise Lyapunov functions for linear, non-linear (polynomial), and for parametric models. For non-linear models, the algorithm also determines a region of validity for the Lyapunov function. We exploit an inductive framework to synthesise Lyapunov functions, starting from parametric templates. The inductive framework comprises two elements: a learner proposes a Lyapunov function, and a verifier checks its validity - its lack is expressed via a counterexample (a point over the state space), for further use by the learner. Whilst the verifier uses the SMT solver Z3, thus ensuring the overall soundness of the procedure, we examine two alternatives for the learner: a numerical approach based on the optimisation tool Gurobi, and a sound approach based again on Z3. The overall technique is evaluated over a broad set of benchmarks, which shows that this methodology not only scales to 10-dimensional models within reasonable computational time, but also offers a novel soundness proof for the generated Lyapunov functions and their domains of validity.

preprint2020arXiv

Bayesian Verification of Chemical Reaction Networks

We present a data-driven verification approach that determines whether or not a given chemical reaction network (CRN) satisfies a given property, expressed as a formula in a modal logic. Our approach consists of three phases, integrating formal verification over models with learning from data. First, we consider a parametric set of possible models based on a known stoichiometry and classify them against the property of interest. Secondly, we utilise Bayesian inference to update a probability distribution of the parameters within a parametric model with data gathered from the underlying CRN. In the third and final stage, we combine the results of both steps to compute the probability that the underlying CRN satisfies the given property. We apply the new approach to a case study and compare it to Bayesian statistical model checking.

preprint2020arXiv

Cautious Reinforcement Learning with Logical Constraints

This paper presents the concept of an adaptive safe padding that forces Reinforcement Learning (RL) to synthesise optimal control policies while ensuring safety during the learning process. Policies are synthesised to satisfy a goal, expressed as a temporal logic formula, with maximal probability. Enforcing the RL agent to stay safe during learning might limit the exploration, however we show that the proposed architecture is able to automatically handle the trade-off between efficient progress in exploration (towards goal satisfaction) and ensuring safety. Theoretical guarantees are available on the optimality of the synthesised policies and on the convergence of the learning algorithm. Experimental results are provided to showcase the performance of the proposed method.

preprint2020arXiv

Computation of the Transient in Max-Plus Linear Systems via SMT-Solving

This paper proposes a new approach, grounded in Satisfiability Modulo Theories (SMT), to study the transient of a Max-Plus Linear (MPL) system, that is the number of steps leading to its periodic regime. Differently from state-of-the-art techniques, our approach allows the analysis of periodic behaviors for subsets of initial states, as well as the characterization of sets of initial states exhibiting the same specific periodic behavior and transient. Our experiments show that the proposed technique dramatically outperforms state-of-the-art methods based on max-plus algebra computations for systems of large dimensions.

preprint2020arXiv

Formal Synthesis of Lyapunov Neural Networks

We propose an automatic and formally sound method for synthesising Lyapunov functions for the asymptotic stability of autonomous non-linear systems. Traditional methods are either analytical and require manual effort or are numerical but lack of formal soundness. Symbolic computational methods for Lyapunov functions, which are in between, give formal guarantees but are typically semi-automatic because they rely on the user to provide appropriate function templates. We propose a method that finds Lyapunov functions fully automatically$-$using machine learning$-$while also providing formal guarantees$-$using satisfiability modulo theories (SMT). We employ a counterexample-guided approach where a numerical learner and a symbolic verifier interact to construct provably correct Lyapunov neural networks (LNNs). The learner trains a neural network that satisfies the Lyapunov criteria for asymptotic stability over a samples set; the verifier proves via SMT solving that the criteria are satisfied over the whole domain or augments the samples set with counterexamples. Our method supports neural networks with polynomial activation functions and multiple depth and width, which display wide learning capabilities. We demonstrate our method over several non-trivial benchmarks and compare it favourably against a numerical optimisation-based approach, a symbolic template-based approach, and a cognate LNN-based approach. Our method synthesises Lyapunov functions faster and over wider spatial domains than the alternatives, yet providing stronger or equal guarantees.

preprint2020arXiv

SafePILCO: a software tool for safe and data-efficient policy synthesis

SafePILCO is a software tool for safe and data-efficient policy search with reinforcement learning. It extends the known PILCO algorithm, originally written in MATLAB, to support safe learning. We provide a Python implementation and leverage existing libraries that allow the codebase to remain short and modular, which is appropriate for wider use by the verification, reinforcement learning, and control communities.

preprint2020arXiv

Safety Guarantees for Planning Based on Iterative Gaussian Processes

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely employed in control and learning because of their principled treatment of uncertainty. However, tracking uncertainty for iterative, multi-step predictions in general leads to an analytically intractable problem. While approximation methods exist, they do not come with guarantees, making it difficult to estimate their reliability and to trust their predictions. In this work, we derive formal probability error bounds for iterative prediction and planning with GPs. Building on GP properties, we bound the probability that random trajectories lie in specific regions around the predicted values. Namely, given a tolerance $ε> 0 $, we compute regions around the predicted trajectory values, such that GP trajectories are guaranteed to lie inside them with probability at least $1-ε$. We verify experimentally that our method tracks the predictive uncertainty correctly, even when current approximation techniques fail. Furthermore, we show how the proposed bounds can be employed within a safe reinforcement learning framework to verify the safety of candidate control policies, guiding the synthesis of provably safe controllers.

preprint2020arXiv

Symbolic Reachability Analysis of High Dimensional Max-Plus Linear Systems

This work discusses the reachability analysis (RA) of Max-Plus Linear (MPL) systems, a class of continuous-space, discrete-event models defined over the max-plus algebra. Given the initial and target sets, we develop algorithms to verify whether there exist trajectories of the MPL system that, starting from the initial set, eventually reach the target set. We show that RA can be solved symbolically by encoding the MPL system, as well as initial and target sets into difference logic, and then checking the satisfaction of the resulting logical formula via an off-the-shelf satisfiability modulo theories (SMT) solver. The performance and scalability of the developed SMT-based algorithms are shown to clearly outperform state-of-the-art RA algorithms for MPL systems, newly allowing to investigate RA of high-dimensional MPL systems: the verification of models with more than 100 continuous variables shows the applicability of these techniques to MPL systems of industrial relevance.

preprint2020arXiv

Temporal Logic Trees for Model Checking and Control Synthesis of Uncertain Discrete-time Systems

We propose algorithms for performing model checking and control synthesis for discrete-time uncertain systems under linear temporal logic (LTL) specifications. We construct temporal logic trees (TLT) from LTL formulae via reachability analysis. In contrast to automaton-based methods, the construction of the TLT is abstraction-free for infinite systems, that is, we do not construct discrete abstractions of the infinite systems. Moreover, for a given transition system and an LTL formula, we prove that there exist both a universal TLT and an existential TLT via minimal and maximal reachability analysis, respectively. We show that the universal TLT is an underapproximation for the LTL formula and the existential TLT is an overapproximation. We provide sufficient conditions and necessary conditions to verify whether a transition system satisfies an LTL formula by using the TLT approximations. As a major contribution of this work, for a controlled transition system and an LTL formula, we prove that a controlled TLT can be constructed from the LTL formula via control-dependent reachability analysis. Based on the controlled TLT, we design an online control synthesis algorithm, under which a set of feasible control inputs can be generated at each time step. We also prove that this algorithm is recursively feasible. We illustrate the proposed methods for both finite and infinite systems and highlight the generality and online scalability with two simulated examples.

preprint2016arXiv

Safety Verification of Output Feedback Controllers for Nonlinear Systems

A high-gain observer is used for a class of feedback linearisable nonlinear systems to synthesize safety-preserving controllers over the observer output. A bound on the distance between trajectories under state and output feedback is derived, and shown to converge to zero as a function of the gain parameter of an observer. We can therefore recover safety properties under output feedback and control saturation constraints by synthesizing a controller as if the full state were available. We specifically design feedback linearising controllers that satisfy certain properties, such as stability, and then construct the associated maximal safety-invariant set, namely the largest set of all initial states that are guaranteed to produce safe trajectories over a given (possibly infinite) time horizon.

preprint2016arXiv

Symbolic Abstractions of Networked Control Systems

The last decade has witnessed significant attention on networked control systems (NCS) due to their ubiquitous presence in industrial applications, and, in the particular case of wireless NCS, because of their architectural flexibility and low installation and maintenance costs. In wireless NCS the communication between sensors, controllers, and actuators is supported by a communication channel that is likely to introduce variable communication delays, packet losses, limited bandwidth, and other practical non-idealities leading to numerous technical challenges. Although stability properties of NCS have been investigated extensively in the literature, results for NCS under more complex and general objectives, and in particular results dealing with verification or controller synthesis for logical specifications, are much more limited. This work investigates how to address such complex objectives by constructively deriving symbolic models of NCS, while encompassing the mentioned network non-idealities. The obtained abstracted (symbolic) models can then be employed to synthesize hybrid controllers enforcing rich logical specifications over the concrete NCS models. Examples of such general specifications include properties expressed as formulae in linear temporal logic (LTL) or as automata on infinite strings. We thus provide a general synthesis framework that can be flexibly adapted to a number of NCS setups. We illustrate the effectiveness of the results over some case studies.

preprint2016arXiv

Towards Scalable Synthesis of Stochastic Control Systems

Formal control synthesis approaches over stochastic systems have received significant attention in the past few years, in view of their ability to provide provably correct controllers for complex logical specifications in an automated fashion. Examples of complex specifications of interest include properties expressed as formulae in linear temporal logic (LTL) or as automata on infinite strings. A general methodology to synthesize controllers for such properties resorts to symbolic abstractions of the given stochastic systems. Symbolic models are discrete abstractions of the given concrete systems with the property that a controller designed on the abstraction can be refined (or implemented) into a controller on the original system. Although the recent development of techniques for the construction of symbolic models has been quite encouraging, the general goal of formal synthesis over stochastic control systems is by no means solved. A fundamental issue with the existing techniques is the known "curse of dimensionality," which is due to the need to discretize state and input sets and that results in an exponential complexity over the number of state and input variables in the concrete system. In this work we propose a novel abstraction technique for incrementally stable stochastic control systems, which does not require state-space discretization but only input set discretization, and that can be potentially more efficient (and thus scalable) than existing approaches. We elucidate the effectiveness of the proposed approach by synthesizing a schedule for the coordination of two traffic lights under some safety and fairness requirements for a road traffic model. Further we argue that this 5-dimensional linear stochastic control system cannot be studied with existing approaches based on state-space discretization due to the very large number of generated discrete states.

preprint2015arXiv

Data-driven and Model-based Verification: a Bayesian Identification Approach

This work develops a measurement-driven and model-based formal verification approach, applicable to systems with partly unknown dynamics. We provide a principled method, grounded on reachability analysis and on Bayesian inference, to compute the confidence that a physical system driven by external inputs and accessed under noisy measurements, verifies a temporal logic property. A case study is discussed, where we investigate the bounded- and unbounded-time safety of a partly unknown linear time invariant system.

preprint2015arXiv

Dynamic Bayesian Networks as Formal Abstractions of Structured Stochastic Processes

We study the problem of finite-horizon probabilistic invariance for discrete-time Markov processes over general (uncountable) state spaces. We compute discrete-time, finite-state Markov chains as formal abstractions of general Markov processes. Our abstraction differs from existing approaches in two ways. First, we exploit the structure of the underlying Markov process to compute the abstraction separately for each dimension. Second, we employ dynamic Bayesian networks (DBN) as compact representations of the abstraction. In contrast, existing approaches represent and store the (exponentially large) Markov chain explicitly, which leads to heavy memory requirements limiting the application to models of dimension less than half, according to our experiments. We show how to construct a DBN abstraction of a Markov process satisfying an independence assumption on the driving process noise. We compute a guaranteed bound on the error in the abstraction w.r.t.\ the probabilistic invariance property; the dimension-dependent abstraction makes the error bounds more precise than existing approaches. Additionally, we show how factor graphs and the sum-product algorithm for DBNs can be used to solve the finite-horizon probabilistic invariance problem. Together, DBN-based representations and algorithms can be significantly more efficient than explicit representations of Markov chains for abstracting and model checking structured Markov processes.

preprint2015arXiv

Observer-based correct-by-design controller synthesis

Current state-of-the-art correct-by-design controllers are designed for full-state measurable systems. This work first extends the applicability of correct-by-design controllers to partially observable LTI systems. Leveraging 2nd order bounds we give a design method that has a quantifiable robustness to probabilistic disturbances on state transitions and on output measurements. In a case study from smart buildings we evaluate the new output-based correct-by-design controller on a physical system with limited sensor information.

preprint2015arXiv

Sampling-based Approximations with Quantitative Performance for the Probabilistic Reach-Avoid Problem over General Markov Processes

This article deals with stochastic processes endowed with the Markov (memoryless) property and evolving over general (uncountable) state spaces. The models further depend on a non-deterministic quantity in the form of a control input, which can be selected to affect the probabilistic dynamics. We address the computation of maximal reach-avoid specifications, together with the synthesis of the corresponding optimal controllers. The reach-avoid specification deals with assessing the likelihood that any finite-horizon trajectory of the model enters a given goal set, while avoiding a given set of undesired states. This article newly provides an approximate computational scheme for the reach-avoid specification based on the Fitted Value Iteration algorithm, which hinges on random sample extractions, and gives a-priori computable formal probabilistic bounds on the error made by the approximation algorithm: as such, the output of the numerical scheme is quantitatively assessed and thus meaningful for safety-critical applications. Furthermore, we provide tighter probabilistic error bounds that are sample-based. The overall computational scheme is put in relationship with alternative approximation algorithms in the literature, and finally its performance is practically assessed over a benchmark case study.

preprint2014arXiv

Characterization and computation of infinite horizon specifications over Markov processes

This work is devoted to the formal verification of specifications over general discrete-time Markov processes, with an emphasis on infinite-horizon properties. These properties, formulated in a modal logic known as PCTL, can be expressed through value functions defined over the state space of the process. The main goal is to understand how structural features of the model (primarily the presence of absorbing sets) influence the uniqueness of the solutions of corresponding Bellman equations. Furthermore, this contribution shows that the investigation of these structural features leads to new computational techniques to calculate the specifications of interest: the emphasis is to derive approximation techniques with associated explicit convergence rates and formal error bounds.

preprint2014arXiv

Quantitative model-checking of controlled discrete-time Markov processes

This paper focuses on optimizing probabilities of events of interest defined over general controlled discrete-time Markov processes. It is shown that the optimization over a wide class of $ω$-regular properties can be reduced to the solution of one of two fundamental problems: reachability and repeated reachability. We provide a comprehensive study of the former problem and an initial characterisation of the (much more involved) latter problem. A case study elucidates concepts and techniques.

preprint2014arXiv

Symbolic Models for Stochastic Switched Systems: A Discretization and a Discretization-Free Approach

Stochastic switched systems are a relevant class of stochastic hybrid systems with probabilistic evolution over a continuous domain and control-dependent discrete dynamics over a finite set of modes. In the past few years several different techniques have been developed to assist in the stability analysis of stochastic switched systems. However, more complex and challenging objectives related to the verification of and the controller synthesis for logic specifications have not been formally investigated for this class of systems as of yet. With logic specifications we mean properties expressed as formulae in linear temporal logic or as automata on infinite strings. This paper addresses these complex objectives by constructively deriving approximately equivalent (bisimilar) symbolic models of stochastic switched systems. More precisely, this paper provides two different symbolic abstraction techniques: one requires state space discretization, but the other one does not require any space discretization which can be potentially more efficient than the first one when dealing with higher dimensional stochastic switched systems. Both techniques provide finite symbolic models that are approximately bisimilar to stochastic switched systems under some stability assumptions on the concrete model. This allows formally synthesizing controllers (switching signals) that are valid for the concrete system over the finite symbolic model, by means of mature automata-theoretic techniques in the literature. The effectiveness of the results are illustrated by synthesizing switching signals enforcing logic specifications for two case studies including temperature control of a six-room building.

preprint2013arXiv

Aggregation and Control of Populations of Thermostatically Controlled Loads by Formal Abstractions

This work discusses a two-step procedure, based on formal abstractions, to generate a finite-space stochastic dynamical model as an aggregation of the continuous temperature dynamics of a homogeneous population of Thermostatically Controlled Loads (TCL). The temperature of a single TCL is described by a stochastic difference equation and the TCL status (ON, OFF) by a deterministic switching mechanism. The procedure is formal as it allows the exact quantification of the error introduced by the abstraction -- as such it builds and improves on a known, earlier approximation technique in the literature. Further, the contribution discusses the extension to the case of a heterogeneous population of TCL by means of two approaches resulting in the notion of approximate abstractions. It moreover investigates the problem of global (population-level) regulation and load balancing for the case of TCL that are dependent on a control input. The procedure is tested on a case study and benchmarked against the mentioned alternative approach in the literature.

preprint2013arXiv

Computation of ruin probabilities for general discrete-time Markov models

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a new technique to compute the quantity of interest for any initial value, and with any given precision. Rather than focusing on a particular model for risk processes, we give a general characterization of the ruin probability by providing corresponding recursions and fixpoint equations. Since such equations for the ruin probability are ill-posed in the sense that they do not allow for unique solutions, we approximate the ruin probability by a two-barrier ruin probability, for which fixpoint equations are well-posed. We also show how good the introduced approximation is by providing an explicit bound on the error and by characterizing the cases when the error converges to zero. The presented technique and results are supported by two computational examples over models known in the literature, one of which is extremely heavy-tailed.

preprint2013arXiv

Symbolic control of stochastic systems via approximately bisimilar finite abstractions

Symbolic approaches to the control design over complex systems employ the construction of finite-state models that are related to the original control systems, then use techniques from finite-state synthesis to compute controllers satisfying specifications given in a temporal logic, and finally translate the synthesized schemes back as controllers for the concrete complex systems. Such approaches have been successfully developed and implemented for the synthesis of controllers over non-probabilistic control systems. In this paper, we extend the technique to probabilistic control systems modeled by controlled stochastic differential equations. We show that for every stochastic control system satisfying a probabilistic variant of incremental input-to-state stability, and for every given precision $\varepsilon>0$, a finite-state transition system can be constructed, which is $\varepsilon$-approximately bisimilar (in the sense of moments) to the original stochastic control system. Moreover, we provide results relating stochastic control systems to their corresponding finite-state transition systems in terms of probabilistic bisimulation relations known in the literature. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the construction by synthesizing controllers for stochastic control systems over rich specifications expressed in linear temporal logic. The discussed technique enables a new, automated, correct-by-construction controller synthesis approach for stochastic control systems, which are common mathematical models employed in many safety critical systems subject to structured uncertainty and are thus relevant for cyber-physical applications.