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Why trust a theory? Some further remarks (part 1)

I expand on some ideas from my recent review "String theory to the rescue," I discuss my use of Bayesian reasoning. I argue that it can be useful but that it is very far from the central point of the discussion. I then review my own personal history with the multiverse. Finally I respond to some of the criticisms of Ellis and Silk, which initiated this interesting discussion.

preprint2016arXivOpen access
Joseph Polchinski
gr-qcphysics.hist-phhep-th
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Joseph Polchinski

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