Abstract

In this paper we discuss some variations of Nagata's conjecture on linear systems of plane curves. The most relevant concerns non-effectivity (hence nefness) of certain rays, which we call \emph{good rays}, in the Mori cone of the blow-up XnX_n of the plane at n≥10n\ge 10 general points. Nagata's original result was the existence of a good ray for XnX_n with n≥16n\ge 16 a square number. Using degenerations, we give examples of good rays for XnX_n for all n≥10n\ge 10. As with Nagata's original result, this implies the existence of counterexamples to Hilbert's XIV problem. Finally we show that Nagata's conjecture for n≤89n\le 89 combined with a stronger conjecture for n=10n=10 implies Nagata's conjecture for n≥90n\ge 90.

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