Time inhomogeneity in longest gap and longest run problems

preprint2016arXivOpen access

Abstract

Consider an inhomogeneous Poisson process and let DD be the first of its epochs which is followed by a gap of size ℓ>0\ell>0. We establish a criterion for D<∞D<\infty a.s., as well as for DD being long-tailed and short-tailed, and obtain logarithmic tail asymptotics in various cases. These results are translated into the discrete time framework of independent non-stationary Bernoulli trials where the analogue of DD is the waiting time for the first run of ones of length ℓ\ell. A main motivation comes from computer reliability, where D+ℓD+\ell represents the actual execution time of a program or transfer of a file of size ℓ\ell in presence of failures (epochs of the process) which necessitate restart.

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