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Thermodynamic Constraints Drive Hierarchical Preemption in Cellular Decision-Making: A Hybrid Petri Net Framework with Application to Bacillus subtilis Sporulation

Cellular decision-making under stress involves rapid pathway selection despite energy scarcity. Here we demonstrate that thermodynamic constraints actively drive energy-efficient sporulation, where continuous metabolic sources enable system robustness through dynamic energy management. Using hybrid Petri nets (stochastic transitions with continuous sources) to model Bacillus subtilis sporulation, we show that stress conditions (ATP = 300 mM, 94% depletion) enable sporulation completion with extreme energy efficiency: 0.73 mM ATP per mature spore versus 11.6 mM ATP under normal conditions--a 16-fold efficiency gain. Despite ATP dropping to 1 mM (99.7% depletion) during the crisis, continuous ATP regeneration rescues the system, producing 67 mM mature spores (89% of normal yield) with only 49 mM total ATP consumption. This efficiency emerges from the interplay between stochastic regulatory transitions and continuous metabolic sources, where GTP accumulation (+4974 mM, 166% increase) provides an energy buffer while ATP regeneration (+240 mM) prevents complete depletion. The hybrid Petri net formalism--combining stochastic transitions for regulatory events with continuous sources for metabolic flux--extended with thermodynamic constraints through inhibitor arcs and energy-coupled rate functions, provides the mathematical foundation enabling this discovery by integrating discrete regulatory logic with continuous energy dynamics in a resource-aware concurrency model.

preprint2026arXivOpen access
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