The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Piecewise Power-Law Reconstruction of the Gravitational-Wave Background

preprint2026arXivOpen access
Gabriella AgazieAkash AnumarlapudiAnne M. ArchibaldZaven ArzoumanianJeremy G. BaierPaul T. BakerBence BécsyAmit BhoonahLaura BlechaAdam BrazierPaul R. BrookSarah Burke-SpolaorRand BurnetteRobin CaseJ. Andrew Casey-ClydeMaria CharisiShami ChatterjeeTyler CohenJames M. CordesNeil J. CornishFronefield CrawfordThankful CromartieKathryn CrowterMegan E. DeCesarPaul B. DemorestHeling DengLankeswar DeyTimothy DolchElizabeth C. FerraraWilliam FioreEmmanuel FonsecaGabriel E. FreedmanEmiko C. GardinerNate Garver-DanielsPeter A. GentileKyle A. GersbachJoseph GlaserBrenda D. Gómez-CortesDeborah C. GoodKayhan GültekinC. J. HarrisJeffrey S. HazbounRoss J. JenningsAaron D. JohnsonMegan L. JonesDavid L. KaplanLuke Zoltan KelleyMatthew KerrJoey S. KeyNima LaalMichael T. LamWilliam G. LambBjorn LarsenT. Joseph W. LazioNatalia LewandowskaMonica LeysTingting LiuDuncan R. LorimerJing LuoRyan S. LynchChung-Pei MaDustin R. MadisonCayenne MattAlexander McEwenJames W. McKeeMaura A. McLaughlinNatasha McMannBradley W. MeyersPatrick M. MeyersChiara M. F. MingarelliAndrea MitridateCherry NgDavid J. NiceStella Koch OckerKen D. OlumTimothy T. PennucciBenetge B. P. PereraPolina PetrovNihan S. PolHenri A. RadovanScott M. RansomPaul S. RayJoseph D. RomanoJessie C. RunnoeAlexander SafferShashwat C. SardesaiAnn SchmiedekampCarl SchmiedekampKai SchmitzBrent J. Shapiro-AlbertXavier SiemensJoseph SimonSophia V. Sosa FiscellaIngrid H. StairsDaniel R. StinebringKevin StovallAbhimanyu SusobhananJoseph K. SwiggumJacob TaylorStephen R. TaylorMercedes S. ThompsonJacob E. TurnerMichele VallisneriRutger van HaasterenSarah J. VigelandHaley M. WahlSi WangKevin P. WilsonCaitlin A. WittDavid WrightOlivia Young

Abstract

The NANOGrav 15-year (NG15) data set provides evidence for a gravitational-wave background (GWB) signal at nanohertz frequencies, which is expected to originate either from a cosmic population of inspiraling supermassive black-hole binaries or new particle physics in the early Universe. A firm identification of the source of the NG15 signal requires an accurate reconstruction of its frequency spectrum. In this paper, we provide such a spectral characterization of the NG15 signal based on a piecewise power-law (PPL) ansatz that strikes a balance between existing alternatives in the literature. Our PPL reconstruction is more flexible than the standard constant-power-law model, which describes the GWB spectrum in terms of only two parameters: an amplitude A and a spectral index gamma. Concurrently, it better approximates physically realistic GWB spectra -- especially those of cosmological origin -- than the free spectral model, since the latter allows for arbitrary variations in the GWB amplitude from one frequency bin to the next. Our PPL reconstruction of the NG15 signal relies on individual PPL models with a fixed number of internal nodes (i.e., constant power law, broken power law, doubly broken power law, etc.) that are ultimately combined in a Bayesian model average. The data products resulting from our analysis provide the basis for fast refits of spectral GWB models.

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