Tail asymptotics for the supercritical Galton-Watson process in the heavy-tailed case

preprint2013arXivOpen access

Abstract

As well known, for a supercritical Galton-Watson process ZnZ_n whose offspring distribution has mean m>1m>1, the ratio Wn:=Zn/mnW_n:=Z_n/m^n has a.s. limit, say WW. We study tail behaviour of the distributions of WnW_n and WW in the case where Z1Z_1 has heavy-tailed distribution, that is, $\E e^{λZ_1}=\infty$ for every λ>0λ>0. We show how different types of distributions of Z1Z_1 lead to different asymptotic behaviour of the tail of WnW_n and WW. We describe the most likely way how large values of the process occur.

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