Survival probabilities of some iterated processes

preprint2011arXivOpen access

Abstract

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a stochastic process (Zt)t≥0(Z_t)_{t \geq 0} does not exceed a constant barrier up to time TT (the so called survival probability) when Z is the composition of two independent processes (Xt)t∈I(X_t)_{t \in I} and (Yt)t≥0(Y_t)_{t \geq 0}. To be precise, we consider (Zt)t≥0(Z_t)_{t \geq 0} defined by $Z_t = X \circ \abs{Y_t}$ when I=[0,∞)I = [0,\infty) and Zt=X∘YtZ_t = X \circ Y_t when I=RI = \mathbb{R}. For continuous self-similar processes (Yt)t≥0(Y_t)_{t \geq 0}, the rate of decay of survival probability for ZZ can be inferred directly from the survival probability of XX and the index of self-similarity of YY. As a corollary, we obtain that the survival probability for iterated Brownian motion decays asymptotically like T−1/2T^{-1/2}. If YY is discontinuous, the range of YY possibly contains gaps which complicates the estimation of the survival probability. We determine the polynomial rate of decay for XX being a Lévy process (possibly two-sided if I=RI = \mathbb{R}) and YY being a Lévy process or random walk under suitable moments conditions.

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