Strategy complexity of finite-horizon Markov decision processes and simple stochastic games

preprint2012arXivOpen access

Abstract

Markov decision processes (MDPs) and simple stochastic games (SSGs) provide a rich mathematical framework to study many important problems related to probabilistic systems. MDPs and SSGs with finite-horizon objectives, where the goal is to maximize the probability to reach a target state in a given finite time, is a classical and well-studied problem. In this work we consider the strategy complexity of finite-horizon MDPs and SSGs. We show that for all ε>0ε>0, the natural class of counter-based strategies require at most log⁡log⁡(1ε)+n+1\log \log (\frac{1}ε) + n+1 memory states, and memory of size Ω(log⁡log⁡(1ε)+n)Ω(\log \log (\frac{1}ε) + n) is required. Thus our bounds are asymptotically optimal. We then study the periodic property of optimal strategies, and show a sub-exponential lower bound on the period for optimal strategies.

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