Abstract
Let be a compact, negatively curved surface. From the (finite) set of all closed geodesics on of length , choose one, say , at random and let be the number of its self-intersections. It is known that there is a positive constant depending on the metric such that in probability as . The main results of this paper concern the size of typical fluctuations of about . It is proved that if the metric has constant curvature -1 then typical fluctuations are of order , in particular, converges weakly to a nondegenerate probability distribution. In contrast, it is also proved that if the metric has variable negative curvature then fluctuations of are of order , in particular, converges weakly to a Gaussian distribution. Similar results are proved for generic geodesics, that is, geodesics whose initial tangent vectors are chosen randomly according to normalized Liouville measure.
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