Special cycles on unitary Shimura varieties I. unramified local theory

The supersingular locus in the fiber at p of a Shimura variety attached to a unitary similitude group GU(1,n-1) over Q is uniformized by a formal scheme \Cal N. In the case when p is inert, we define special cycles Z(x) in \Cal N, associated to a collection x of m `special homomorphisms' with fundamental matrix T in Herm_m(OK). When m=n and T is nonsingular, we show that the cycle Z(x) is a union of components of the Ekedahl-Oort stratification, and we give a necessary and sufficient conditions, in terms of T, for Z(x) to be irreducible. When Z(x) is zero dimensional -- in which case it reduces to a single point -- we determine the length of the corresponding local ring by using a variant of the theory of quasi-canonical liftings. We show that this length coincides with the derivative of a representation density for hermitian forms.

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