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Some numerical observations about the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy

We give some numerical observations on the total number of infected by the SARS-CoV-2 in Italy. The analysis is based on a tanh formula involving two parameters. A polynomial correlation between the parameters gives an upper bound for the time of the peak of new infected. A numerical indicator of the temporal variability of the upper bound is introduced. The result and the possibility to extend the analysis to other countries are discussed in the conclusions.

preprint2020arXivOpen access
Federico Zullo
physics.soc-phmath.DSPopulations and Evolution
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Open access1 author3 topics
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Federico Zullo

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