Slowly varying asymptotics for signed stochastic difference equations

preprint2020arXivOpen access

Abstract

For a stochastic difference equation Dn=AnDn−1+BnD_n=A_nD_{n-1}+B_n which stabilises upon time we study tail distribution asymptotics of DnD_n under the assumption that the distribution of log⁡(1+∣A1∣+∣B1∣)\log(1+|A_1|+|B_1|) is heavy-tailed, that is, all its positive exponential moments are infinite. The aim of the present paper is three-fold. Firstly, we identify the asymptotic behaviour not only of the stationary tail distribution but also of DnD_n. Secondly, we solve the problem in the general setting when AA takes both positive and negative values. Thirdly, we get rid of auxiliary conditions like finiteness of higher moments used in the literature before.

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