Random real branched coverings of the projective line

preprint2020arXivOpen access

Abstract

In this paper, we construct a natural probability measure on the space of real branched coverings from a real projective algebraic curve (X,cX)(X,c_X) to the projective line (CP1,conj)(\mathbb{C}\mathbb{P}^1,\textrm{conj}). We prove that the space of degree dd real branched coverings having "many" real branched points (for example more than d1+α\sqrt{d}^{1+α}, for any α>0α>0) has exponentially small measure. In particular, maximal real branched coverings, that is real branched coverings such that all the branched points are real, are exponentially rare.

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