Paper detail

Probing potential redshift-dependent systematics in the Hubble tension: Model-independent $H_0$ constraints from DESI R2

We present a determination of the Hubble constant ($H_0$) using the latest observational data from multiple cosmological probes, providing an independent geometric calibration of the SN Ia distance scale. By combining baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) measurements from the second data release of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI DR2), cosmic chronometer $H(z)$ data, and the Pantheon Plus Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) sample, we reconstruct the cosmic expansion history through Gaussian process regression without assuming a specific cosmological model. Our analysis fully incorporates the complete covariance structure and yields $H_0$ constraints at five distinct redshifts: $65.72 \pm 1.99$ (z=0.51), $67.78 \pm 1.75$ (z=0.706), $70.74 \pm 1.39$ (z=0.934), $71.04 \pm 1.93$ (z=1.321), and $68.37 \pm 3.95~\mathrm{km~s^{-1}~Mpc^{-1}}$ (z=1.484). The Bayesian combination of these measurements gives $\hat{H}_0 = 69.29 \pm 0.81~\mathrm{km~s^{-1}~Mpc^{-1}}$ with 1.2\% precision, which occupies an intermediate position between the Planck CMB result and the SH0ES local measurement. While we observe a non-monotonic pattern in $H_0$ values across redshifts, statistical tests show this apparent evolution is not significant (p = 0.208). Our approach delivers independent constraints at multiple redshifts, enabling investigation of potential redshift-dependent systematic effects in the Hubble tension. The results demonstrate that an independent geometric method yields an $H_0$ value consistent with the intermediate range of current measurements, providing a crucial cross-check of distance ladder determinations.

preprint2025arXivOpen access

Signal facts

What is known right now

Open access3 authors1 topic

Next steps

Decide what to do with this paper

Use like or dislike for the fast social read. The more specific scholarly feedback stays available below when needed.

Log in to curate

Reading frame

Keep the important context close to the paper

Keep the important signals around this paper in one place: votes, save state, collection context, reviews and the metadata you need before deciding what to do next.

Institutions

Add specific reaction

Move through the context

Research map

Open full explorer

Move through nearby people, institutions, topics and adjacent work without leaving the paper page.

Building this map preview

BZPEER is loading the nearby papers, people, topics and institutions for this page.

Structured reviews

0 review(s)

ContributeLeave structured feedbackUse the review template when you have a concrete strength, concern or method question.Open review form

No structured reviews yet. High-signal critique starts here.

Work discussion

0 comment(s)

DiscussAdd a high-signal commentKeep quick notes, caveats and replication pointers separate from formal reviews.Open comment form

No discussion yet. The first strong comment sets the tone.