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Probability of simultaneous parallax detection for free-floating planet microlensing events near Galactic Centre

The event rate and the efficiency of mass estimation for free-floating planet (FFP) microlensing events were determined from the simulation of the simultaneous parallax observations by Euclid, WFIRST, and LSST. The stellar population from the Besançon Galactic model toward $(l, b)=(1^{\circ},-1.^{\circ}75)$ was applied to our 3D microlensing model, and 30,000 parallax observations were simulated for each following FFP lens masses: Jupiter-mass, Neptune-mass, and Earth-mass assuming the population of one FFP per star. The interstellar dust, unresolved stellar background, nearby star blending were modelled. A signal-to-noise limit considering a finite source effect determined the event detectability. The Euclid-WFIRST combination yielded 30.7 Jupiter-mass FFPs during two 30-day-periods per year in parallax observation. The parallax event rate decreases to 3.9 FFPs for Earth-mass planets. The mass estimation from the parallax light curve allowed recovery of FFP masses to within a factor of two for 20-26% of cases. The Euclid-LSST combination yielded 34.5 Jupiter-mass FFPs down to 0.5 Earth-mass FFPs for the same periods and the mass is recovered to within a factor of two in 20-40% of cases. The event rate will be normalised by the unknown FFP abundance to recover the number of expected detections.

preprint2020arXivOpen access

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