Optimal scaling for the pseudo-marginal random walk Metropolis: insensitivity to the noise generating mechanism

preprint2015arXivOpen access

Abstract

We examine the optimal scaling and the efficiency of the pseudo-marginal random walk Metropolis algorithm using a recently-derived result on the limiting efficiency as the dimension, d→∞d\rightarrow \infty. We prove that the optimal scaling for a given target varies by less than 20%20\% across a wide range of distributions for the noise in the estimate of the target, and that any scaling that is within 20%20\% of the optimal one will be at least 70%70\% efficient. We demonstrate that this phenomenon occurs even outside the range of distributions for which we rigorously prove it. We then conduct a simulation study on an example with d=10d=10 where importance sampling is used to estimate the target density; we also examine results available from an existing simulations study with d=5d=5 and where a particle filter was used. Our key conclusions are found to hold in these examples also.

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