Abstract
The microlensing probability (optical depth ) toward the Galactic center carries information about the mass distribution of the Galactic bulge/bar, so can be used to constrain the very uncertain shape parameters of the bar. We find depends on the bar mass, radial profile, angle, axis scale lengths and boxyness by a few simple analytical formulae, which shows: (1) is proportional to the mass of the bar, . (2) falls along the minor axis with a strong gradient. (3) An oblate bulge can have more optical depth than a triaxial bar if the bar angle degress. (4) is the largest if the angle and the axis ratio conspires so that . (5) At a fixed field on the minor axis but away from the center, boxy bars with a flat density profile tend to give a larger optical depth than ellipsoidal bars with a steep profile. (6) Main sequence sources should have a significantly lower (20-50\% lower) optical depth than red clump giants if main sequence stars are not observed as deep as the bright clump giants. An application to four COBE-constrained models (Dwek et al. 1994) shows most models produce optical depth lower than MACHO and OGLE observed values even with both a massive bar and a full disk. The high argues for a massive () boxy bar with and deg and with a flat radial profile up to corotation.
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